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icon for 9月2日香港最低溫度？

9月2日香港最低溫度？

icon for 9月2日香港最低溫度？

9月2日香港最低溫度？

8月 31

9月 1

9月 2

8月 31

9月 1

9月 2

25°C 39%

26°C 39%

31°C or higher 23%

30°C 20%

Polymarket
最新

25°C 39%

26°C 39%

31°C or higher 23%

30°C 20%

Polymarket
最新

21°C or below

$20 交易量

1%

22°C

$205 交易量

12%

23°C

$62 交易量

19%

24°C

$98 交易量

15%

25°C

$7 交易量

39%

26°C

$82 交易量

33%

27°C

$13 交易量

19%

28°C

$120 交易量

5%

29°C

$40 交易量

18%

30°C

$20 交易量

20%

31°C or higher

$40 交易量

23%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment clusters around 25–26°C minima for September 2, reflecting HKO forecasts of 26–31°C amid tropical cyclone Sadel and northeast monsoon influences.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate northerly to northwesterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to clearer conditions. High humidity (70–95%) further moderates temperature drops, while brief afternoon sunshine may allow modest daytime warming before evening stabilization. Model consensus from multiple sources points to minima near 25–26°C, with slight variations arising from exact timing of showers and wind strength. Upcoming HKO updates and refined model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$707
結束日期
2026-09-02
市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment clusters around 25–26°C minima for September 2, reflecting HKO forecasts of 26–31°C amid tropical cyclone Sadel and northeast monsoon influences.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate northerly to northwesterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to clearer conditions. High humidity (70–95%) further moderates temperature drops, while brief afternoon sunshine may allow modest daytime warming before evening stabilization. Model consensus from multiple sources points to minima near 25–26°C, with slight variations arising from exact timing of showers and wind strength. Upcoming HKO updates and refined model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$707
結束日期
2026-09-02
市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

相關

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Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 2?

31%
icon for Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"9月2日香港最低溫度？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "25°C" at 39%, followed by "26°C" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"9月2日香港最低溫度？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "9月2日香港最低溫度？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "9月2日香港最低溫度？" is "25°C" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "26°C" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "9月2日香港最低溫度？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.