Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance pegs September 2 daytime temperatures at 27–31 °C under north-to-northwest winds of 4–5, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover expected. These conditions create narrow uncertainty around peak values, as brief sunshine could allow surface heating to 30–31 °C while passing showers and higher humidity suppress maxima near 28–29 °C. Model consensus shows limited diurnal range amid the trough and distant tropical influence, keeping the market closely balanced between 29 °C and 30 °C implied probabilities. Updated HKO bulletins and local radar trends through the morning will be the key near-term drivers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日香港最高溫度?
29°C 31%
30°C 29%
31°C 16%
28°C 16%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
16%
29°C
31%
30°C
29%
31°C
16%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 31%
30°C 29%
31°C 16%
28°C 16%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
16%
29°C
31%
30°C
29%
31°C
16%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance pegs September 2 daytime temperatures at 27–31 °C under north-to-northwest winds of 4–5, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover expected. These conditions create narrow uncertainty around peak values, as brief sunshine could allow surface heating to 30–31 °C while passing showers and higher humidity suppress maxima near 28–29 °C. Model consensus shows limited diurnal range amid the trough and distant tropical influence, keeping the market closely balanced between 29 °C and 30 °C implied probabilities. Updated HKO bulletins and local radar trends through the morning will be the key near-term drivers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions