**Cloud cover, showers, and elevated humidity from a broad low-pressure trough combined with lingering tropical cyclone influences are suppressing peak temperatures across Hong Kong on September 1.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional observations indicate daytime maxima most likely between 28–30 °C under mostly cloudy skies, with northerly winds of 4–5 Beaufort and a high probability of thunderstorms. These conditions limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping readings below the early-September climatological average of ~31 °C. Early-morning station data near 27 °C and model consensus for limited afternoon warming reinforce trader emphasis on the 28–29 °C outcomes, while the modest probability assigned to 30 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exactly how much brief sunshine may develop before widespread convection. The market-implied distribution therefore aligns closely with current atmospheric conditions and the latest authoritative guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日香港最高溫度?
29°C 47%
28°C 31%
30°C 15%
31°C 5.1%
$25,550 交易量
$25,550 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
31%
29°C
47%
30°C
15%
31°C
5%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 47%
28°C 31%
30°C 15%
31°C 5.1%
$25,550 交易量
$25,550 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
31%
29°C
47%
30°C
15%
31°C
5%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
**Cloud cover, showers, and elevated humidity from a broad low-pressure trough combined with lingering tropical cyclone influences are suppressing peak temperatures across Hong Kong on September 1.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional observations indicate daytime maxima most likely between 28–30 °C under mostly cloudy skies, with northerly winds of 4–5 Beaufort and a high probability of thunderstorms. These conditions limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping readings below the early-September climatological average of ~31 °C. Early-morning station data near 27 °C and model consensus for limited afternoon warming reinforce trader emphasis on the 28–29 °C outcomes, while the modest probability assigned to 30 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exactly how much brief sunshine may develop before widespread convection. The market-implied distribution therefore aligns closely with current atmospheric conditions and the latest authoritative guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions