Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover across Chongqing on September 18, 2026, are suppressing radiative cooling and compressing the diurnal temperature range, anchoring overnight lows near 20–22°C according to multiple forecast models. High humidity near 90% and light winds further limit temperature drops, consistent with climatological patterns for the region under similar synoptic conditions. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even split between the 20°C outcome and lower thresholds, stems from minor model divergences on exact minimum timing amid ongoing showers, with resolution hinging on official station readings that account for urban heat island effects. Upcoming hourly updates from regional meteorological services will clarify whether any brief clearing allows a dip toward 18–19°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日重慶氣溫最低?
15°C或以下 90%
16°C 90%
17°C 90%
18°C 90%
15°C或以下
90%
16°C
90%
17°C
90%
18°C
90%
19°C
15%
20°C
50%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或以上
<1%
15°C或以下 90%
16°C 90%
17°C 90%
18°C 90%
15°C或以下
90%
16°C
90%
17°C
90%
18°C
90%
19°C
15%
20°C
50%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover across Chongqing on September 18, 2026, are suppressing radiative cooling and compressing the diurnal temperature range, anchoring overnight lows near 20–22°C according to multiple forecast models. High humidity near 90% and light winds further limit temperature drops, consistent with climatological patterns for the region under similar synoptic conditions. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even split between the 20°C outcome and lower thresholds, stems from minor model divergences on exact minimum timing amid ongoing showers, with resolution hinging on official station readings that account for urban heat island effects. Upcoming hourly updates from regional meteorological services will clarify whether any brief clearing allows a dip toward 18–19°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions