Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models show Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 20 shaped by an approaching Atlantic low-pressure system and associated frontal cloud band. Persistent southwest flow advects milder maritime air while variable cloud cover modulates nocturnal radiative cooling; thicker overcast tends to hold temperatures near 14–15°C, whereas partial clearing allows greater heat loss toward 13°C or below. Historical September minima average near 11°C, but current above-normal warmth and moisture increase the chance of a milder outcome. Traders assign highest implied probability to 13–14°C, reflecting tight model spread on wind speed and shower timing that will determine the precise low before official KNMI verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日阿姆斯特丹的最低溫度？
9月20日阿姆斯特丹的最低溫度？
14°C 30%
13°C 24%
12°C 19%
15°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
10°C或以下
7%
11°C
11%
12°C
19%
13°C
24%
14°C
30%
15°C
15%
16°C
11%
17°C
7%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C或以上
2%
14°C 30%
13°C 24%
12°C 19%
15°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
10°C或以下
$0 交易量
7%
11°C
$0 交易量
11%
12°C
$0 交易量
19%
13°C
$0 交易量
24%
14°C
$0 交易量
30%
15°C
$0 交易量
15%
16°C
$0 交易量
11%
17°C
$0 交易量
7%
18°C
$0 交易量
5%
19°C
$0 交易量
2%
20°C或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models show Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 20 shaped by an approaching Atlantic low-pressure system and associated frontal cloud band. Persistent southwest flow advects milder maritime air while variable cloud cover modulates nocturnal radiative cooling; thicker overcast tends to hold temperatures near 14–15°C, whereas partial clearing allows greater heat loss toward 13°C or below. Historical September minima average near 11°C, but current above-normal warmth and moisture increase the chance of a milder outcome. Traders assign highest implied probability to 13–14°C, reflecting tight model spread on wind speed and shower timing that will determine the precise low before official KNMI verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models show Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 20 shaped by an approaching Atlantic low-pressure system and associated frontal cloud band. Persistent southwest flow advects milder maritime air while variable cloud cover modulates nocturnal radiative cooling; thicker overcast tends to hold temperatures near 14–15°C, whereas partial clearing allows greater heat loss toward 13°C or below. Historical September minima average near 11°C, but current above-normal warmth and moisture increase the chance of a milder outcome. Traders assign highest implied probability to 13–14°C, reflecting tight model spread on wind speed and shower timing that will determine the precise low before official KNMI verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from European and global models show Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 20 shaped by an approaching Atlantic low-pressure system and associated frontal cloud band. Persistent southwest flow advects milder maritime air while variable cloud cover modulates nocturnal radiative cooling; thicker overcast tends to hold temperatures near 14–15°C, whereas partial clearing allows greater heat loss toward 13°C or below. Historical September minima average near 11°C, but current above-normal warmth and moisture increase the chance of a milder outcome. Traders assign highest implied probability to 13–14°C, reflecting tight model spread on wind speed and shower timing that will determine the precise low before official KNMI verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions