Latest forecasts for Wellington indicate a high near 14–15°C on September 20, driven by southerly winds following a frontal system that limits daytime warming under partly cloudy skies with a 40–50% rain chance. Model consensus from sources like MetService and international guidance shows afternoon peaks in that narrow range amid typical spring variability, where southerlies suppress temperatures below recent northerly-influenced days. Trader positioning at 53.5% for 15°C and 33% for 14°C aligns with this consensus, while lower probabilities for extremes reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations from climatological norms without major forecast shifts. Updated model runs and official briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
9月20日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
15°C 54%
14°C 33%
16°C 19%
13°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
6%
14°C
33%
15°C
54%
16°C
19%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C或以上
<1%
15°C 54%
14°C 33%
16°C 19%
13°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
9°C或以下
$181 交易量
<1%
10°C
$277 交易量
<1%
11°C
$0 交易量
2%
12°C
$23 交易量
3%
13°C
$11 交易量
6%
14°C
$778 交易量
33%
15°C
$364 交易量
54%
16°C
$227 交易量
19%
17°C
$0 交易量
2%
18°C
$79 交易量
1%
19°C或以上
$181 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts for Wellington indicate a high near 14–15°C on September 20, driven by southerly winds following a frontal system that limits daytime warming under partly cloudy skies with a 40–50% rain chance. Model consensus from sources like MetService and international guidance shows afternoon peaks in that narrow range amid typical spring variability, where southerlies suppress temperatures below recent northerly-influenced days. Trader positioning at 53.5% for 15°C and 33% for 14°C aligns with this consensus, while lower probabilities for extremes reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations from climatological norms without major forecast shifts. Updated model runs and official briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,120結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts for Wellington indicate a high near 14–15°C on September 20, driven by southerly winds following a frontal system that limits daytime warming under partly cloudy skies with a 40–50% rain chance. Model consensus from sources like MetService and international guidance shows afternoon peaks in that narrow range amid typical spring variability, where southerlies suppress temperatures below recent northerly-influenced days. Trader positioning at 53.5% for 15°C and 33% for 14°C aligns with this consensus, while lower probabilities for extremes reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations from climatological norms without major forecast shifts. Updated model runs and official briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,120結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest forecasts for Wellington indicate a high near 14–15°C on September 20, driven by southerly winds following a frontal system that limits daytime warming under partly cloudy skies with a 40–50% rain chance. Model consensus from sources like MetService and international guidance shows afternoon peaks in that narrow range amid typical spring variability, where southerlies suppress temperatures below recent northerly-influenced days. Trader positioning at 53.5% for 15°C and 33% for 14°C aligns with this consensus, while lower probabilities for extremes reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations from climatological norms without major forecast shifts. Updated model runs and official briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions