Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models such as GFS indicate a daily maximum near 30°C for Shanghai on September 20, driven by northerly winds under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with low precipitation chances and moderate humidity around 50-60%. This positions 29–30°C as the most likely outcomes, consistent with late-September climatology after peak summer warmth and ahead of potential cooling later in the month. Short-term model runs show limited spread, though exact peak timing and localized urban heat effects introduce minor uncertainty; updated guidance from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日上海最高溫度?
29°C 51%
28°C 35%
30°C 13%
26°C 7%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
7%
27°C
6%
28°C
35%
29°C
51%
30°C
13%
31°C
5%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
29°C 51%
28°C 35%
30°C 13%
26°C 7%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
7%
27°C
6%
28°C
35%
29°C
51%
30°C
13%
31°C
5%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models such as GFS indicate a daily maximum near 30°C for Shanghai on September 20, driven by northerly winds under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with low precipitation chances and moderate humidity around 50-60%. This positions 29–30°C as the most likely outcomes, consistent with late-September climatology after peak summer warmth and ahead of potential cooling later in the month. Short-term model runs show limited spread, though exact peak timing and localized urban heat effects introduce minor uncertainty; updated guidance from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions