**Current observational data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum temperature of 28°C in Qingdao on September 18, 2026.** Light southeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity have supported gradual daytime warming without significant cooling from cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns closely with mid-September climatology for the coastal Shandong region, where average highs reach 25–26°C, with recent model runs showing minimal deviation. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability reflects high confidence in station readings, though minor uncertainties remain around exact peak timing, localized urban heat effects, or final quality-controlled measurements that could shift the recorded maximum by 1°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日青島氣溫最高？
9月18日青島氣溫最高？
28°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$23,143 交易量
$23,143 交易量
2026-09-18
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
28°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$23,143 交易量
$23,143 交易量
2026-09-18
21°C或以下
$41 交易量
<1%
22°C
$41 交易量
<1%
23°C
$41 交易量
<1%
24°C
$268 交易量
<1%
25°C
$280 交易量
<1%
26°C
$701 交易量
<1%
27°C
$2,385 交易量
<1%
28°C
$8,319 交易量
100%
29°C
$5,226 交易量
<1%
30°C
$3,954 交易量
<1%
31°C或以上
$1,887 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current observational data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum temperature of 28°C in Qingdao on September 18, 2026.** Light southeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity have supported gradual daytime warming without significant cooling from cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns closely with mid-September climatology for the coastal Shandong region, where average highs reach 25–26°C, with recent model runs showing minimal deviation. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability reflects high confidence in station readings, though minor uncertainties remain around exact peak timing, localized urban heat effects, or final quality-controlled measurements that could shift the recorded maximum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$23,143結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current observational data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum temperature of 28°C in Qingdao on September 18, 2026.** Light southeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity have supported gradual daytime warming without significant cooling from cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns closely with mid-September climatology for the coastal Shandong region, where average highs reach 25–26°C, with recent model runs showing minimal deviation. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability reflects high confidence in station readings, though minor uncertainties remain around exact peak timing, localized urban heat effects, or final quality-controlled measurements that could shift the recorded maximum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$23,143結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Current observational data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum temperature of 28°C in Qingdao on September 18, 2026.** Light southeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity have supported gradual daytime warming without significant cooling from cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns closely with mid-September climatology for the coastal Shandong region, where average highs reach 25–26°C, with recent model runs showing minimal deviation. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability reflects high confidence in station readings, though minor uncertainties remain around exact peak timing, localized urban heat effects, or final quality-controlled measurements that could shift the recorded maximum by 1°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions