Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and international models such as GFS indicate a daytime maximum of 17–19°C in Moscow on September 18, driven by warm southwesterly airflow and variable cloud cover with light morning showers that limit peak heating. Hourly observations through midday show readings climbing from the low teens toward 16–18°C by afternoon under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with late-September climatology where typical highs range 15–18°C. Trader consensus favoring 17°C (52%) and 16°C (39%) reflects this narrow range, with lower odds on 18°C or higher tied to the moderating influence of precipitation and limited solar insolation. Updated model runs and real-time station data will determine final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日莫斯科的最高溫度？
9月18日莫斯科的最高溫度？
16°C 58%
17°C 41%
15°C 4.0%
18°C 4%
$22,375 交易量
$22,375 交易量
2026-09-18
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
53%
17°C
32%
18°C
4%
19°C
2%
20°C或以上
<1%
16°C 58%
17°C 41%
15°C 4.0%
18°C 4%
$22,375 交易量
$22,375 交易量
2026-09-18
10°C或以下
$349 交易量
<1%
11°C
$31 交易量
<1%
12°C
$31 交易量
<1%
13°C
$31 交易量
<1%
14°C
$1,616 交易量
<1%
15°C
$1,266 交易量
4%
16°C
$3,193 交易量
53%
17°C
$4,375 交易量
32%
18°C
$6,839 交易量
4%
19°C
$2,298 交易量
2%
20°C或以上
$2,346 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and international models such as GFS indicate a daytime maximum of 17–19°C in Moscow on September 18, driven by warm southwesterly airflow and variable cloud cover with light morning showers that limit peak heating. Hourly observations through midday show readings climbing from the low teens toward 16–18°C by afternoon under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with late-September climatology where typical highs range 15–18°C. Trader consensus favoring 17°C (52%) and 16°C (39%) reflects this narrow range, with lower odds on 18°C or higher tied to the moderating influence of precipitation and limited solar insolation. Updated model runs and real-time station data will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$22,375結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and international models such as GFS indicate a daytime maximum of 17–19°C in Moscow on September 18, driven by warm southwesterly airflow and variable cloud cover with light morning showers that limit peak heating. Hourly observations through midday show readings climbing from the low teens toward 16–18°C by afternoon under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with late-September climatology where typical highs range 15–18°C. Trader consensus favoring 17°C (52%) and 16°C (39%) reflects this narrow range, with lower odds on 18°C or higher tied to the moderating influence of precipitation and limited solar insolation. Updated model runs and real-time station data will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,375結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and international models such as GFS indicate a daytime maximum of 17–19°C in Moscow on September 18, driven by warm southwesterly airflow and variable cloud cover with light morning showers that limit peak heating. Hourly observations through midday show readings climbing from the low teens toward 16–18°C by afternoon under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with late-September climatology where typical highs range 15–18°C. Trader consensus favoring 17°C (52%) and 16°C (39%) reflects this narrow range, with lower odds on 18°C or higher tied to the moderating influence of precipitation and limited solar insolation. Updated model runs and real-time station data will determine final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions