Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daytime high near 31°C (88°F) in Miami on September 19 amid scattered thunderstorms, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 86–89°F. Afternoon convection and sea-breeze timing introduce the main uncertainty: early or widespread storms can limit insolation and cap readings in the mid-80s, while delayed development allows greater boundary-layer heating and pushes values into the upper 80s. Dew points near 24–26°C sustain high humidity that moderates the diurnal range, and light easterly flow offers little additional mixing. Historical September averages near 88.9°F provide context, yet the 45–55% implied-probability band underscores how small shifts in storm initiation or cloud cover can swing the official maximum across the narrow 86–89°F resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日邁阿密的最高溫度？
9月19日邁阿密的最高溫度？
88-89°F 42%
86-87°F 35%
90-91°F 18%
84-85°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
華氏77度或以下
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
35%
88-89°F
42%
90-91°F
18%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F或更高
<1%
88-89°F 42%
86-87°F 35%
90-91°F 18%
84-85°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
華氏77度或以下
$125 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$343 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$236 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$870 交易量
2%
84-85°F
$1,037 交易量
7%
86-87°F
$1,157 交易量
35%
88-89°F
$1,419 交易量
42%
90-91°F
$1,540 交易量
18%
92-93°F
$623 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$268 交易量
<1%
96°F或更高
$183 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daytime high near 31°C (88°F) in Miami on September 19 amid scattered thunderstorms, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 86–89°F. Afternoon convection and sea-breeze timing introduce the main uncertainty: early or widespread storms can limit insolation and cap readings in the mid-80s, while delayed development allows greater boundary-layer heating and pushes values into the upper 80s. Dew points near 24–26°C sustain high humidity that moderates the diurnal range, and light easterly flow offers little additional mixing. Historical September averages near 88.9°F provide context, yet the 45–55% implied-probability band underscores how small shifts in storm initiation or cloud cover can swing the official maximum across the narrow 86–89°F resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$7,800結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daytime high near 31°C (88°F) in Miami on September 19 amid scattered thunderstorms, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 86–89°F. Afternoon convection and sea-breeze timing introduce the main uncertainty: early or widespread storms can limit insolation and cap readings in the mid-80s, while delayed development allows greater boundary-layer heating and pushes values into the upper 80s. Dew points near 24–26°C sustain high humidity that moderates the diurnal range, and light easterly flow offers little additional mixing. Historical September averages near 88.9°F provide context, yet the 45–55% implied-probability band underscores how small shifts in storm initiation or cloud cover can swing the official maximum across the narrow 86–89°F resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,800結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 3:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daytime high near 31°C (88°F) in Miami on September 19 amid scattered thunderstorms, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 86–89°F. Afternoon convection and sea-breeze timing introduce the main uncertainty: early or widespread storms can limit insolation and cap readings in the mid-80s, while delayed development allows greater boundary-layer heating and pushes values into the upper 80s. Dew points near 24–26°C sustain high humidity that moderates the diurnal range, and light easterly flow offers little additional mixing. Historical September averages near 88.9°F provide context, yet the 45–55% implied-probability band underscores how small shifts in storm initiation or cloud cover can swing the official maximum across the narrow 86–89°F resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions