Recent atmospheric patterns, including a persistent high-pressure system sustaining elevated temperatures across northern France, position the implied probability of a 16°C or lower minimum in Paris on August 1 at 68%. Météo-France and ensemble models indicate lingering heatwave conditions with daytime highs well above the ~24°C seasonal average, yet overnight radiative cooling under clearer skies or any thunderstorm-induced mixing could produce lows near or below the 15–16°C climatological baseline. Recent forecast updates show modest downward revisions in minimum temperatures for the July 31–August 1 transition period, reflecting uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and potential Atlantic air-mass intrusions. Traders weigh this against historical early-August minima typically ranging 14–16°C, with resolution depending on the final 00 UTC model runs and official Météo-France observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on August 1?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 1?
16°C or below 68%
17°C 28%
18°C 13%
19°C 1.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 1, 2026
16°C or below
68%
17°C
28%
18°C
19%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
16°C or below 68%
17°C 28%
18°C 13%
19°C 1.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 1, 2026
16°C or below
$1,369 Обс.
68%
17°C
$1,046 Обс.
28%
18°C
$356 Обс.
19%
19°C
$322 Обс.
1%
20°C
$241 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$232 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$345 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$833 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$339 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$333 Обс.
<1%
26°C or higher
$332 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric patterns, including a persistent high-pressure system sustaining elevated temperatures across northern France, position the implied probability of a 16°C or lower minimum in Paris on August 1 at 68%. Météo-France and ensemble models indicate lingering heatwave conditions with daytime highs well above the ~24°C seasonal average, yet overnight radiative cooling under clearer skies or any thunderstorm-induced mixing could produce lows near or below the 15–16°C climatological baseline. Recent forecast updates show modest downward revisions in minimum temperatures for the July 31–August 1 transition period, reflecting uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and potential Atlantic air-mass intrusions. Traders weigh this against historical early-August minima typically ranging 14–16°C, with resolution depending on the final 00 UTC model runs and official Météo-France observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,747Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric patterns, including a persistent high-pressure system sustaining elevated temperatures across northern France, position the implied probability of a 16°C or lower minimum in Paris on August 1 at 68%. Météo-France and ensemble models indicate lingering heatwave conditions with daytime highs well above the ~24°C seasonal average, yet overnight radiative cooling under clearer skies or any thunderstorm-induced mixing could produce lows near or below the 15–16°C climatological baseline. Recent forecast updates show modest downward revisions in minimum temperatures for the July 31–August 1 transition period, reflecting uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and potential Atlantic air-mass intrusions. Traders weigh this against historical early-August minima typically ranging 14–16°C, with resolution depending on the final 00 UTC model runs and official Météo-France observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,747Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent atmospheric patterns, including a persistent high-pressure system sustaining elevated temperatures across northern France, position the implied probability of a 16°C or lower minimum in Paris on August 1 at 68%. Météo-France and ensemble models indicate lingering heatwave conditions with daytime highs well above the ~24°C seasonal average, yet overnight radiative cooling under clearer skies or any thunderstorm-induced mixing could produce lows near or below the 15–16°C climatological baseline. Recent forecast updates show modest downward revisions in minimum temperatures for the July 31–August 1 transition period, reflecting uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and potential Atlantic air-mass intrusions. Traders weigh this against historical early-August minima typically ranging 14–16°C, with resolution depending on the final 00 UTC model runs and official Météo-France observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання