Recent short-range forecast models indicate a peak around 36–37°C in Shanghai on August 1 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, high humidity near 70–80%, and light winds that limit mixing and enhance the urban heat island effect. Recent July heat alerts across eastern China, with verified readings of 37°C in Shanghai, have sustained trader focus on elevated baselines, while model consensus on minimal cloud cover or precipitation during peak heating hours supports the tight spread between the leading 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration and historical August climatology showing occasional excursions above 35°C further anchor sentiment, though any late-day sea breeze or convective development could cap the maximum and shift probabilities toward the lower end of the distribution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 1?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 1?
37°C 45%
36°C 36%
38°C 16%
39°C 3.9%
НОВЕ
$41,317 Обс.
НОВЕ
$41,317 Обс.
Aug 1, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
36%
37°C
45%
38°C
16%
39°C
4%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
37°C 45%
36°C 36%
38°C 16%
39°C 3.9%
НОВЕ
$41,317 Обс.
НОВЕ
$41,317 Обс.
Aug 1, 2026
31°C or below
$830 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$1,396 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$2,038 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$2,753 Обс.
1%
35°C
$12,307 Обс.
4%
36°C
$3,603 Обс.
36%
37°C
$6,148 Обс.
45%
38°C
$4,422 Обс.
16%
39°C
$5,469 Обс.
4%
40°C
$1,282 Обс.
<1%
41°C or higher
$1,068 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models indicate a peak around 36–37°C in Shanghai on August 1 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, high humidity near 70–80%, and light winds that limit mixing and enhance the urban heat island effect. Recent July heat alerts across eastern China, with verified readings of 37°C in Shanghai, have sustained trader focus on elevated baselines, while model consensus on minimal cloud cover or precipitation during peak heating hours supports the tight spread between the leading 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration and historical August climatology showing occasional excursions above 35°C further anchor sentiment, though any late-day sea breeze or convective development could cap the maximum and shift probabilities toward the lower end of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$41,317Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models indicate a peak around 36–37°C in Shanghai on August 1 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, high humidity near 70–80%, and light winds that limit mixing and enhance the urban heat island effect. Recent July heat alerts across eastern China, with verified readings of 37°C in Shanghai, have sustained trader focus on elevated baselines, while model consensus on minimal cloud cover or precipitation during peak heating hours supports the tight spread between the leading 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration and historical August climatology showing occasional excursions above 35°C further anchor sentiment, though any late-day sea breeze or convective development could cap the maximum and shift probabilities toward the lower end of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$41,317Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast models indicate a peak around 36–37°C in Shanghai on August 1 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, high humidity near 70–80%, and light winds that limit mixing and enhance the urban heat island effect. Recent July heat alerts across eastern China, with verified readings of 37°C in Shanghai, have sustained trader focus on elevated baselines, while model consensus on minimal cloud cover or precipitation during peak heating hours supports the tight spread between the leading 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration and historical August climatology showing occasional excursions above 35°C further anchor sentiment, though any late-day sea breeze or convective development could cap the maximum and shift probabilities toward the lower end of the distribution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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