Forecast models from regional meteorological services currently point to a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Shenzhen on August 1, driven by widespread cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and thunderstorms associated with the East Asian summer monsoon. These conditions limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping surface temperatures below the seasonal average of around 31–32°C. The narrow spread between the two leading market outcomes reflects minor differences in model consensus on rainfall timing, cloud optical depth, and local wind patterns that could shift the peak by 1°C. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market once finalized.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 1?
28°C 46%
29°C 33%
30°C 14%
27°C 4.9%
$55,765 Обс.
$55,765 Обс.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
46%
29°C
33%
30°C
14%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 46%
29°C 33%
30°C 14%
27°C 4.9%
$55,765 Обс.
$55,765 Обс.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
46%
29°C
33%
30°C
14%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from regional meteorological services currently point to a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Shenzhen on August 1, driven by widespread cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and thunderstorms associated with the East Asian summer monsoon. These conditions limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping surface temperatures below the seasonal average of around 31–32°C. The narrow spread between the two leading market outcomes reflects minor differences in model consensus on rainfall timing, cloud optical depth, and local wind patterns that could shift the peak by 1°C. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market once finalized.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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