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Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?

icon for Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?

Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?

Jul 31

Aug 31

Dec 31

Jul 31

Aug 31

Dec 31

НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
Polymarket

$637 Обс.

Polymarket

2400+

$472 Обс.

99%

2450+

$125 Обс.

93%

2500+

$0 Обс.

83%

2550+

$29 Обс.

53%

2600+

$10 Обс.

56%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.Sustained community transmission among largely unvaccinated populations continues to drive elevated U.S. measles incidence, with the CDC reporting 2,371 confirmed cases through July 30, 2026—already exceeding the 2025 full-year total of 2,289. Most cases (94%) are outbreak-associated, concentrated in jurisdictions with low MMR coverage, while importation events remain limited. Official surveillance data reflect confirmed reports only, with potential undercounting due to variable state-level detection. Key variables for August accumulation include ongoing outbreak containment, seasonal travel patterns, and any shifts in vaccination uptake or public health interventions ahead of CDC's weekly updates. Historical precedent shows rapid case growth possible in under-immunized clusters before resolution thresholds are assessed.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Обсяг
$637
Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 10:25 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.Sustained community transmission among largely unvaccinated populations continues to drive elevated U.S. measles incidence, with the CDC reporting 2,371 confirmed cases through July 30, 2026—already exceeding the 2025 full-year total of 2,289. Most cases (94%) are outbreak-associated, concentrated in jurisdictions with low MMR coverage, while importation events remain limited. Official surveillance data reflect confirmed reports only, with potential undercounting due to variable state-level detection. Key variables for August accumulation include ongoing outbreak containment, seasonal travel patterns, and any shifts in vaccination uptake or public health interventions ahead of CDC's weekly updates. Historical precedent shows rapid case growth possible in under-immunized clusters before resolution thresholds are assessed.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Обсяг
$637
Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 10:25 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

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Часті запитання

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