Official meteorological observations from Argentina’s national weather service recorded a daily maximum of exactly 25°C in Buenos Aires on July 31, producing the market’s near-certain 100 % implied probability for that outcome. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, such a reading sits above the long-term July average yet aligns with recent model guidance showing a transient warm-air advection event. Traders priced every alternative at 0.1 % because the measurement threshold is binary and already verified by the authoritative station network. Only an unprecedented post-publication data correction or a change in the official reporting station could alter the result, scenarios viewed as negligible given standard quality-control protocols.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 31?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 31?
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$80,327 Обс.
$80,327 Обс.
Jul 31, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$80,327 Обс.
$80,327 Обс.
Jul 31, 2026
16°C or below
$1,558 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$8,852 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$6,136 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$4,551 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$3,797 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$4,555 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$4,551 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$10,089 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$13,501 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$10,830 Обс.
100%
26°C or higher
$11,908 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Argentina’s national weather service recorded a daily maximum of exactly 25°C in Buenos Aires on July 31, producing the market’s near-certain 100 % implied probability for that outcome. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, such a reading sits above the long-term July average yet aligns with recent model guidance showing a transient warm-air advection event. Traders priced every alternative at 0.1 % because the measurement threshold is binary and already verified by the authoritative station network. Only an unprecedented post-publication data correction or a change in the official reporting station could alter the result, scenarios viewed as negligible given standard quality-control protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$80,327Дата завершення
Jul 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Argentina’s national weather service recorded a daily maximum of exactly 25°C in Buenos Aires on July 31, producing the market’s near-certain 100 % implied probability for that outcome. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, such a reading sits above the long-term July average yet aligns with recent model guidance showing a transient warm-air advection event. Traders priced every alternative at 0.1 % because the measurement threshold is binary and already verified by the authoritative station network. Only an unprecedented post-publication data correction or a change in the official reporting station could alter the result, scenarios viewed as negligible given standard quality-control protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$80,327Дата завершення
Jul 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official meteorological observations from Argentina’s national weather service recorded a daily maximum of exactly 25°C in Buenos Aires on July 31, producing the market’s near-certain 100 % implied probability for that outcome. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, such a reading sits above the long-term July average yet aligns with recent model guidance showing a transient warm-air advection event. Traders priced every alternative at 0.1 % because the measurement threshold is binary and already verified by the authoritative station network. Only an unprecedented post-publication data correction or a change in the official reporting station could alter the result, scenarios viewed as negligible given standard quality-control protocols.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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