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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 31?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 31?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 31?

Jul 31

Aug 1

Aug 2

Jul 31

Aug 1

Aug 2

27°C 100.0%

24°C or below <1%

25°C <1%

26°C <1%

Polymarket

$169,237 Обс.

27°C 100.0%

24°C or below <1%

25°C <1%

26°C <1%

Polymarket

$169,237 Обс.

24°C or below

$411 Обс.

<1%

25°C

$3,714 Обс.

<1%

26°C

$29,948 Обс.

<1%

27°C

$39,281 Обс.

100%

28°C

$31,356 Обс.

<1%

29°C

$20,299 Обс.

<1%

30°C

$16,263 Обс.

<1%

31°C

$15,763 Обс.

<1%

32°C

$5,454 Обс.

<1%

33°C

$4,340 Обс.

<1%

34°C or higher

$2,410 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on 27°C as the highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on July 31 because official Hong Kong Observatory data confirm a daily maximum of exactly that value at the primary urban stations. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorm activity suppressed daytime heating, preventing the strong solar insolation typical of late-July subtropical conditions from pushing readings higher. This outcome aligns with the observatory’s automated regional network and contrasts with the seasonal climatological mean maximum near 31–32 °C. While measurement revisions or station-specific microclimate differences are theoretically possible, the multi-site consistency and absence of extreme heat advection make significant upward adjustments highly unlikely before final verification.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$169,237
Дата завершення
Jul 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on 27°C as the highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on July 31 because official Hong Kong Observatory data confirm a daily maximum of exactly that value at the primary urban stations. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorm activity suppressed daytime heating, preventing the strong solar insolation typical of late-July subtropical conditions from pushing readings higher. This outcome aligns with the observatory’s automated regional network and contrasts with the seasonal climatological mean maximum near 31–32 °C. While measurement revisions or station-specific microclimate differences are theoretically possible, the multi-site consistency and absence of extreme heat advection make significant upward adjustments highly unlikely before final verification.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$169,237
Дата завершення
Jul 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «27°C» з 100%, далі «24°C or below» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 31?» згенерував $169.2K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 29, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 31?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 31?» — «27°C» з 100%. Наступний — «24°C or below» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.