Ongoing European heatwave conditions, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system promoting clear skies, subsidence warming, and minimal cloud cover, position 35–36°C as the leading outcomes for Milan's August 1 maximum. Official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate daytime highs of 36–38°C under light winds and urban heat island effects in the Po Valley, consistent with elevated sea surface temperatures and the second-warmest global June on record. Model consensus favors 36°C (61% market-implied probability) as the most likely peak, with limited upside risk from transient cooling or cloud development that could cap readings at 35°C (36.5%). Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations near resolution will refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on August 1?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 1?
36°C 60%
35°C 37%
37°C 3.0%
34°C 2.0%
НОВЕ
$38,393 Обс.
НОВЕ
$38,393 Обс.
Aug 1, 2026
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
37%
36°C
60%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 60%
35°C 37%
37°C 3.0%
34°C 2.0%
НОВЕ
$38,393 Обс.
НОВЕ
$38,393 Обс.
Aug 1, 2026
33°C or below
$2,408 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$8,794 Обс.
2%
35°C
$8,894 Обс.
37%
36°C
$6,267 Обс.
60%
37°C
$6,300 Обс.
3%
38°C
$4,029 Обс.
1%
39°C
$418 Обс.
<1%
40°C
$513 Обс.
<1%
41°C
$288 Обс.
<1%
42°C
$268 Обс.
<1%
43°C or higher
$215 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing European heatwave conditions, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system promoting clear skies, subsidence warming, and minimal cloud cover, position 35–36°C as the leading outcomes for Milan's August 1 maximum. Official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate daytime highs of 36–38°C under light winds and urban heat island effects in the Po Valley, consistent with elevated sea surface temperatures and the second-warmest global June on record. Model consensus favors 36°C (61% market-implied probability) as the most likely peak, with limited upside risk from transient cooling or cloud development that could cap readings at 35°C (36.5%). Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations near resolution will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$38,393Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing European heatwave conditions, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system promoting clear skies, subsidence warming, and minimal cloud cover, position 35–36°C as the leading outcomes for Milan's August 1 maximum. Official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate daytime highs of 36–38°C under light winds and urban heat island effects in the Po Valley, consistent with elevated sea surface temperatures and the second-warmest global June on record. Model consensus favors 36°C (61% market-implied probability) as the most likely peak, with limited upside risk from transient cooling or cloud development that could cap readings at 35°C (36.5%). Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations near resolution will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$38,393Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing European heatwave conditions, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system promoting clear skies, subsidence warming, and minimal cloud cover, position 35–36°C as the leading outcomes for Milan's August 1 maximum. Official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate daytime highs of 36–38°C under light winds and urban heat island effects in the Po Valley, consistent with elevated sea surface temperatures and the second-warmest global June on record. Model consensus favors 36°C (61% market-implied probability) as the most likely peak, with limited upside risk from transient cooling or cloud development that could cap readings at 35°C (36.5%). Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations near resolution will refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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