Official observations from the German Weather Service (DWD) confirm a daily maximum of 36°C in Munich on July 31, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent heatwave conditions, driven by warm maritime air advection and elevated atmospheric temperatures across southern Germany, produced widespread highs of 35–38°C during late July. Model consensus from sources like the GFS and ECMWF, combined with real-time station data, supported this peak without significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or increased cloud cover. While measurement revisions or localized station anomalies remain theoretically possible, historical DWD verification processes make such shifts highly improbable at this stage.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on July 31?
Highest temperature in Munich on July 31?
36°C 100.0%
$75,441 Обс.
$75,441 Обс.
Jul 31, 2026
36°C
100%
36°C 100.0%
$75,441 Обс.
$75,441 Обс.
Jul 31, 2026
36°C
$16,374 Обс.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the German Weather Service (DWD) confirm a daily maximum of 36°C in Munich on July 31, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent heatwave conditions, driven by warm maritime air advection and elevated atmospheric temperatures across southern Germany, produced widespread highs of 35–38°C during late July. Model consensus from sources like the GFS and ECMWF, combined with real-time station data, supported this peak without significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or increased cloud cover. While measurement revisions or localized station anomalies remain theoretically possible, historical DWD verification processes make such shifts highly improbable at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 29, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$75,441Дата завершення
Jul 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the German Weather Service (DWD) confirm a daily maximum of 36°C in Munich on July 31, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent heatwave conditions, driven by warm maritime air advection and elevated atmospheric temperatures across southern Germany, produced widespread highs of 35–38°C during late July. Model consensus from sources like the GFS and ECMWF, combined with real-time station data, supported this peak without significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or increased cloud cover. While measurement revisions or localized station anomalies remain theoretically possible, historical DWD verification processes make such shifts highly improbable at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$75,441Дата завершення
Jul 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the German Weather Service (DWD) confirm a daily maximum of 36°C in Munich on July 31, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent heatwave conditions, driven by warm maritime air advection and elevated atmospheric temperatures across southern Germany, produced widespread highs of 35–38°C during late July. Model consensus from sources like the GFS and ECMWF, combined with real-time station data, supported this peak without significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or increased cloud cover. While measurement revisions or localized station anomalies remain theoretically possible, historical DWD verification processes make such shifts highly improbable at this stage.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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