Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models center Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 2 near 25–26°C, reflecting a transient ridge of high pressure promoting partly sunny skies and modest daytime heating amid moderating northwesterly flow. This aligns closely with historical August climatology for the city, where typical highs average around 25–26°C. Market clustering around these thresholds stems from minor model disagreements on exact peak values, influenced by uncertainties in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle steering patterns that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these variables ahead of official observations from monitoring stations, with limited upside risk for 27°C+ under current guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 2?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 2?
25°C 35%
26°C 28%
24°C 19%
27°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 2, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
19%
25°C
35%
26°C
28%
27°C
12%
28°C or higher
4%
25°C 35%
26°C 28%
24°C 19%
27°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 2, 2026
18°C or below
$133 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$213 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$254 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$110 Обс.
1%
22°C
$10 Обс.
2%
23°C
$206 Обс.
5%
24°C
$296 Обс.
19%
25°C
$139 Обс.
35%
26°C
$227 Обс.
28%
27°C
$86 Обс.
12%
28°C or higher
$794 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models center Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 2 near 25–26°C, reflecting a transient ridge of high pressure promoting partly sunny skies and modest daytime heating amid moderating northwesterly flow. This aligns closely with historical August climatology for the city, where typical highs average around 25–26°C. Market clustering around these thresholds stems from minor model disagreements on exact peak values, influenced by uncertainties in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle steering patterns that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these variables ahead of official observations from monitoring stations, with limited upside risk for 27°C+ under current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,466Дата завершення
Aug 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models center Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 2 near 25–26°C, reflecting a transient ridge of high pressure promoting partly sunny skies and modest daytime heating amid moderating northwesterly flow. This aligns closely with historical August climatology for the city, where typical highs average around 25–26°C. Market clustering around these thresholds stems from minor model disagreements on exact peak values, influenced by uncertainties in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle steering patterns that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these variables ahead of official observations from monitoring stations, with limited upside risk for 27°C+ under current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,466Дата завершення
Aug 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models center Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 2 near 25–26°C, reflecting a transient ridge of high pressure promoting partly sunny skies and modest daytime heating amid moderating northwesterly flow. This aligns closely with historical August climatology for the city, where typical highs average around 25–26°C. Market clustering around these thresholds stems from minor model disagreements on exact peak values, influenced by uncertainties in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle steering patterns that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these variables ahead of official observations from monitoring stations, with limited upside risk for 27°C+ under current guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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