Current short-term weather models from sources like timeanddate and EaseWeather consensus on a high of 29–30°C for Moscow on August 2, positioning these as the leading market outcomes at 45.5% and 23% implied probability. This exceeds the city’s early-August climatological average of roughly 23–24°C, driven by clear or partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation and light winds that favor daytime warming. Model agreement on these thresholds, combined with recent stable high-pressure patterns, underpins trader sentiment, though minor forecast revisions in the next 48 hours could shift probabilities toward 31°C or 28°C. Official monitoring from Russian meteorological agencies will confirm the daily maximum for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on August 2?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 2?
30°C 46%
29°C 23%
31°C 20%
28°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 2, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
23%
30°C
46%
31°C
20%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 46%
29°C 23%
31°C 20%
28°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 2, 2026
23°C or below
$126 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$107 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$215 Обс.
1%
26°C
$716 Обс.
2%
27°C
$363 Обс.
3%
28°C
$154 Обс.
8%
29°C
$615 Обс.
23%
30°C
$761 Обс.
46%
31°C
$799 Обс.
20%
32°C
$190 Обс.
4%
33°C or higher
$168 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term weather models from sources like timeanddate and EaseWeather consensus on a high of 29–30°C for Moscow on August 2, positioning these as the leading market outcomes at 45.5% and 23% implied probability. This exceeds the city’s early-August climatological average of roughly 23–24°C, driven by clear or partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation and light winds that favor daytime warming. Model agreement on these thresholds, combined with recent stable high-pressure patterns, underpins trader sentiment, though minor forecast revisions in the next 48 hours could shift probabilities toward 31°C or 28°C. Official monitoring from Russian meteorological agencies will confirm the daily maximum for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,213Дата завершення
Aug 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term weather models from sources like timeanddate and EaseWeather consensus on a high of 29–30°C for Moscow on August 2, positioning these as the leading market outcomes at 45.5% and 23% implied probability. This exceeds the city’s early-August climatological average of roughly 23–24°C, driven by clear or partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation and light winds that favor daytime warming. Model agreement on these thresholds, combined with recent stable high-pressure patterns, underpins trader sentiment, though minor forecast revisions in the next 48 hours could shift probabilities toward 31°C or 28°C. Official monitoring from Russian meteorological agencies will confirm the daily maximum for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,213Дата завершення
Aug 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term weather models from sources like timeanddate and EaseWeather consensus on a high of 29–30°C for Moscow on August 2, positioning these as the leading market outcomes at 45.5% and 23% implied probability. This exceeds the city’s early-August climatological average of roughly 23–24°C, driven by clear or partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation and light winds that favor daytime warming. Model agreement on these thresholds, combined with recent stable high-pressure patterns, underpins trader sentiment, though minor forecast revisions in the next 48 hours could shift probabilities toward 31°C or 28°C. Official monitoring from Russian meteorological agencies will confirm the daily maximum for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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