Recent meteorological observations and short-range forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate peak temperatures in Istanbul on August 1 stabilizing near 26–27°C under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions. The city’s Mediterranean climate features moderating influences from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, which often cap daytime maxima around the long-term August average of 28–29°C while preventing stronger heat advection from continental interiors. No major heatwave or anomalous southerly flow has developed in the past 48 hours, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered on 27°C (69%) and 26°C (26%). Updated model runs show limited diurnal warming potential due to increased cloud cover and light northerly winds, reducing the likelihood of 28°C or higher outcomes. Traders are monitoring the next official observation bulletins for any late-day adjustments before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 1?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 1?
27°C 69%
26°C 26%
28°C 5%
25°C 2%
НОВЕ
$11,385 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,385 Обс.
Aug 1, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
26%
27°C
69%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 69%
26°C 26%
28°C 5%
25°C 2%
НОВЕ
$11,385 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,385 Обс.
Aug 1, 2026
22°C or below
$234 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$545 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$522 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$522 Обс.
2%
26°C
$1,708 Обс.
26%
27°C
$3,804 Обс.
69%
28°C
$2,248 Обс.
5%
29°C
$680 Обс.
2%
30°C
$365 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$518 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$238 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and short-range forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate peak temperatures in Istanbul on August 1 stabilizing near 26–27°C under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions. The city’s Mediterranean climate features moderating influences from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, which often cap daytime maxima around the long-term August average of 28–29°C while preventing stronger heat advection from continental interiors. No major heatwave or anomalous southerly flow has developed in the past 48 hours, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered on 27°C (69%) and 26°C (26%). Updated model runs show limited diurnal warming potential due to increased cloud cover and light northerly winds, reducing the likelihood of 28°C or higher outcomes. Traders are monitoring the next official observation bulletins for any late-day adjustments before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,385Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and short-range forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate peak temperatures in Istanbul on August 1 stabilizing near 26–27°C under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions. The city’s Mediterranean climate features moderating influences from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, which often cap daytime maxima around the long-term August average of 28–29°C while preventing stronger heat advection from continental interiors. No major heatwave or anomalous southerly flow has developed in the past 48 hours, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered on 27°C (69%) and 26°C (26%). Updated model runs show limited diurnal warming potential due to increased cloud cover and light northerly winds, reducing the likelihood of 28°C or higher outcomes. Traders are monitoring the next official observation bulletins for any late-day adjustments before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$11,385Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological observations and short-range forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate peak temperatures in Istanbul on August 1 stabilizing near 26–27°C under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions. The city’s Mediterranean climate features moderating influences from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, which often cap daytime maxima around the long-term August average of 28–29°C while preventing stronger heat advection from continental interiors. No major heatwave or anomalous southerly flow has developed in the past 48 hours, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered on 27°C (69%) and 26°C (26%). Updated model runs show limited diurnal warming potential due to increased cloud cover and light northerly winds, reducing the likelihood of 28°C or higher outcomes. Traders are monitoring the next official observation bulletins for any late-day adjustments before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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