Recent official forecasts from Russian meteorological services and Yandex Weather center Moscow's August 1 high near 27°C under hot, cloudy conditions with southerly advection of warmer air masses and light winds. This setup aligns closely with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for 27°C and supporting odds for 26–28°C, while limiting upside risk above 29°C. August climatology shows typical highs near 21–23°C, but the current pattern supports modestly above-average readings without extreme heat or precipitation. Model consensus and observational data through July 31 indicate stable steering patterns that favor this narrow range, with traders weighting the most recent guidance heavily as resolution approaches.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on August 1?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 1?
27°C 54%
28°C 19%
26°C 15%
29°C 12%
$24,807 Обс.
$24,807 Обс.
Aug 1, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
15%
27°C
54%
28°C
19%
29°C
12%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 54%
28°C 19%
26°C 15%
29°C 12%
$24,807 Обс.
$24,807 Обс.
Aug 1, 2026
20°C or below
$469 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$854 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$383 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$728 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$1,516 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$1,005 Обс.
1%
26°C
$2,748 Обс.
15%
27°C
$3,541 Обс.
54%
28°C
$3,636 Обс.
19%
29°C
$7,419 Обс.
12%
30°C or higher
$2,508 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russian meteorological services and Yandex Weather center Moscow's August 1 high near 27°C under hot, cloudy conditions with southerly advection of warmer air masses and light winds. This setup aligns closely with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for 27°C and supporting odds for 26–28°C, while limiting upside risk above 29°C. August climatology shows typical highs near 21–23°C, but the current pattern supports modestly above-average readings without extreme heat or precipitation. Model consensus and observational data through July 31 indicate stable steering patterns that favor this narrow range, with traders weighting the most recent guidance heavily as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$24,807Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russian meteorological services and Yandex Weather center Moscow's August 1 high near 27°C under hot, cloudy conditions with southerly advection of warmer air masses and light winds. This setup aligns closely with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for 27°C and supporting odds for 26–28°C, while limiting upside risk above 29°C. August climatology shows typical highs near 21–23°C, but the current pattern supports modestly above-average readings without extreme heat or precipitation. Model consensus and observational data through July 31 indicate stable steering patterns that favor this narrow range, with traders weighting the most recent guidance heavily as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$24,807Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Russian meteorological services and Yandex Weather center Moscow's August 1 high near 27°C under hot, cloudy conditions with southerly advection of warmer air masses and light winds. This setup aligns closely with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for 27°C and supporting odds for 26–28°C, while limiting upside risk above 29°C. August climatology shows typical highs near 21–23°C, but the current pattern supports modestly above-average readings without extreme heat or precipitation. Model consensus and observational data through July 31 indicate stable steering patterns that favor this narrow range, with traders weighting the most recent guidance heavily as resolution approaches.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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