Current ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF models indicate a maximum temperature near 19–21 °C on August 3, aligning with the market's leading 21 °C outcome at 33.5% implied probability. Mild Baltic high pressure and modest southerly flow support this range, while variable cloud cover and possible sea-breeze moderation introduce the observed spread across 19–23 °C. Historical August climatology (average high ~19–20 °C) and recent stable summer conditions reinforce trader focus on these central outcomes rather than extremes below 18 °C or above 25 °C. Updated high-resolution runs and diurnal observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 3?
21°C 36%
22°C 24%
20°C 18%
23°C 13%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
18%
21°C
36%
22°C
24%
23°C
13%
24°C
6%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
21°C 36%
22°C 24%
20°C 18%
23°C 13%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
18%
21°C
36%
22°C
24%
23°C
13%
24°C
6%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF models indicate a maximum temperature near 19–21 °C on August 3, aligning with the market's leading 21 °C outcome at 33.5% implied probability. Mild Baltic high pressure and modest southerly flow support this range, while variable cloud cover and possible sea-breeze moderation introduce the observed spread across 19–23 °C. Historical August climatology (average high ~19–20 °C) and recent stable summer conditions reinforce trader focus on these central outcomes rather than extremes below 18 °C or above 25 °C. Updated high-resolution runs and diurnal observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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