Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather indicate Tokyo will reach daytime highs near 35°C on August 1 under typical late-summer conditions, with high humidity and urban heat retention amplifying temperatures above the 31.8°C seasonal normal. Recent model runs show limited variability, supporting trader consensus around 34–35°C as the most probable official maximum, while the low odds on 36°C or higher reflect the absence of exceptional heat domes or stalled fronts in the latest guidance. Historical August data places average highs near 31–32°C, but persistent warm advection and minimal cloud cover this week have shifted implied probabilities upward. Final JMA observations expected by evening will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 1?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 1?
34°C 39%
35°C 34%
36°C 15%
33°C 10%
$39,790 Обс.
$39,790 Обс.
Aug 1, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
10%
34°C
39%
35°C
34%
36°C
15%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 39%
35°C 34%
36°C 15%
33°C 10%
$39,790 Обс.
$39,790 Обс.
Aug 1, 2026
29°C or below
$2,224 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$5,159 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$2,333 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$7,359 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$3,700 Обс.
10%
34°C
$2,544 Обс.
39%
35°C
$2,981 Обс.
34%
36°C
$3,361 Обс.
15%
37°C
$3,503 Обс.
2%
38°C
$4,088 Обс.
<1%
39°C or higher
$2,539 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather indicate Tokyo will reach daytime highs near 35°C on August 1 under typical late-summer conditions, with high humidity and urban heat retention amplifying temperatures above the 31.8°C seasonal normal. Recent model runs show limited variability, supporting trader consensus around 34–35°C as the most probable official maximum, while the low odds on 36°C or higher reflect the absence of exceptional heat domes or stalled fronts in the latest guidance. Historical August data places average highs near 31–32°C, but persistent warm advection and minimal cloud cover this week have shifted implied probabilities upward. Final JMA observations expected by evening will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$39,790Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather indicate Tokyo will reach daytime highs near 35°C on August 1 under typical late-summer conditions, with high humidity and urban heat retention amplifying temperatures above the 31.8°C seasonal normal. Recent model runs show limited variability, supporting trader consensus around 34–35°C as the most probable official maximum, while the low odds on 36°C or higher reflect the absence of exceptional heat domes or stalled fronts in the latest guidance. Historical August data places average highs near 31–32°C, but persistent warm advection and minimal cloud cover this week have shifted implied probabilities upward. Final JMA observations expected by evening will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$39,790Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather indicate Tokyo will reach daytime highs near 35°C on August 1 under typical late-summer conditions, with high humidity and urban heat retention amplifying temperatures above the 31.8°C seasonal normal. Recent model runs show limited variability, supporting trader consensus around 34–35°C as the most probable official maximum, while the low odds on 36°C or higher reflect the absence of exceptional heat domes or stalled fronts in the latest guidance. Historical August data places average highs near 31–32°C, but persistent warm advection and minimal cloud cover this week have shifted implied probabilities upward. Final JMA observations expected by evening will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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