Latest meteorological forecasts for Beijing on August 1 point to a daily high near 35–36°C amid typical midsummer conditions of high humidity, light southerly winds, and potential afternoon thunderstorms that could moderate peak readings. National weather models and observational data align on this range, consistent with historical August averages of 30–32°C but elevated by recent warm advection. Traders appear to weight the 36°C outcome most heavily, reflecting consensus around these thresholds while assigning lower probability to 37°C or above due to storm timing uncertainties and cooling effects. Official updates from monitoring agencies on afternoon conditions remain the key near-term driver for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on August 1?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 1?
36°C 53%
35°C 31%
37°C 13%
34°C 4%
НОВЕ
$36,356 Обс.
НОВЕ
$36,356 Обс.
Aug 1, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
31%
36°C
53%
37°C
13%
38°C or higher
2%
36°C 53%
35°C 31%
37°C 13%
34°C 4%
НОВЕ
$36,356 Обс.
НОВЕ
$36,356 Обс.
Aug 1, 2026
28°C or below
$1,381 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$3,199 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$4,008 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$3,364 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$6,569 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$4,285 Обс.
1%
34°C
$2,708 Обс.
4%
35°C
$2,089 Обс.
31%
36°C
$5,216 Обс.
53%
37°C
$2,477 Обс.
13%
38°C or higher
$1,060 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts for Beijing on August 1 point to a daily high near 35–36°C amid typical midsummer conditions of high humidity, light southerly winds, and potential afternoon thunderstorms that could moderate peak readings. National weather models and observational data align on this range, consistent with historical August averages of 30–32°C but elevated by recent warm advection. Traders appear to weight the 36°C outcome most heavily, reflecting consensus around these thresholds while assigning lower probability to 37°C or above due to storm timing uncertainties and cooling effects. Official updates from monitoring agencies on afternoon conditions remain the key near-term driver for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$36,356Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts for Beijing on August 1 point to a daily high near 35–36°C amid typical midsummer conditions of high humidity, light southerly winds, and potential afternoon thunderstorms that could moderate peak readings. National weather models and observational data align on this range, consistent with historical August averages of 30–32°C but elevated by recent warm advection. Traders appear to weight the 36°C outcome most heavily, reflecting consensus around these thresholds while assigning lower probability to 37°C or above due to storm timing uncertainties and cooling effects. Official updates from monitoring agencies on afternoon conditions remain the key near-term driver for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$36,356Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological forecasts for Beijing on August 1 point to a daily high near 35–36°C amid typical midsummer conditions of high humidity, light southerly winds, and potential afternoon thunderstorms that could moderate peak readings. National weather models and observational data align on this range, consistent with historical August averages of 30–32°C but elevated by recent warm advection. Traders appear to weight the 36°C outcome most heavily, reflecting consensus around these thresholds while assigning lower probability to 37°C or above due to storm timing uncertainties and cooling effects. Official updates from monitoring agencies on afternoon conditions remain the key near-term driver for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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