Recent model consensus points to a mild winter day in Cape Town driven by high pressure and light southeasterly flow, favoring a daily maximum near 22–24°C on August 2. These conditions suppress strong cooling from the Benguela Current while limiting cold frontal intrusions typical for the region in late winter. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to subtle variations in subsidence strength and boundary-layer mixing, with historical August highs averaging 17–18°C providing context for the above-normal outlook. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of probabilities around 23°C against potential model shifts from updated runs or local topographic effects near Table Mountain.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 2?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 2?
23°C 33%
24°C 28%
22°C 17%
25°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 2, 2026
20°C or below
4%
21°C
6%
22°C
17%
23°C
33%
24°C
28%
25°C
14%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 33%
24°C 28%
22°C 17%
25°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 2, 2026
20°C or below
$484 Обс.
4%
21°C
$197 Обс.
6%
22°C
$274 Обс.
17%
23°C
$193 Обс.
33%
24°C
$191 Обс.
28%
25°C
$457 Обс.
14%
26°C
$501 Обс.
6%
27°C
$69 Обс.
2%
28°C
$10 Обс.
2%
29°C
$115 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$162 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to a mild winter day in Cape Town driven by high pressure and light southeasterly flow, favoring a daily maximum near 22–24°C on August 2. These conditions suppress strong cooling from the Benguela Current while limiting cold frontal intrusions typical for the region in late winter. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to subtle variations in subsidence strength and boundary-layer mixing, with historical August highs averaging 17–18°C providing context for the above-normal outlook. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of probabilities around 23°C against potential model shifts from updated runs or local topographic effects near Table Mountain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,654Дата завершення
Aug 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to a mild winter day in Cape Town driven by high pressure and light southeasterly flow, favoring a daily maximum near 22–24°C on August 2. These conditions suppress strong cooling from the Benguela Current while limiting cold frontal intrusions typical for the region in late winter. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to subtle variations in subsidence strength and boundary-layer mixing, with historical August highs averaging 17–18°C providing context for the above-normal outlook. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of probabilities around 23°C against potential model shifts from updated runs or local topographic effects near Table Mountain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,654Дата завершення
Aug 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus points to a mild winter day in Cape Town driven by high pressure and light southeasterly flow, favoring a daily maximum near 22–24°C on August 2. These conditions suppress strong cooling from the Benguela Current while limiting cold frontal intrusions typical for the region in late winter. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to subtle variations in subsidence strength and boundary-layer mixing, with historical August highs averaging 17–18°C providing context for the above-normal outlook. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of probabilities around 23°C against potential model shifts from updated runs or local topographic effects near Table Mountain.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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