Forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Warsaw under a warm, moderately humid air mass on August 1, 2026, with surface highs expected near 30–32°C amid broken cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms that could cap afternoon peaks. This setup, following elevated July readings, produces tight clustering in market-implied odds around 31–33°C because small shifts in timing of convection or boundary-layer mixing can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 25°C underscore the anomaly, while model spread on steering patterns and insolation keeps lower and higher outcomes viable but less favored. Traders monitor updated runs and local observations for resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 1?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 1?
32°C 25%
31°C 24%
33°C 21%
30°C 18%
НОВЕ
$23,955 Обс.
НОВЕ
$23,955 Обс.
Aug 1, 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
9%
30°C
18%
31°C
24%
32°C
25%
33°C
21%
34°C
6%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 25%
31°C 24%
33°C 21%
30°C 18%
НОВЕ
$23,955 Обс.
НОВЕ
$23,955 Обс.
Aug 1, 2026
28°C or below
$3,199 Обс.
2%
29°C
$3,880 Обс.
9%
30°C
$2,936 Обс.
18%
31°C
$2,992 Обс.
24%
32°C
$4,266 Обс.
25%
33°C
$2,556 Обс.
21%
34°C
$1,392 Обс.
6%
35°C
$669 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$1,026 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$491 Обс.
<1%
38°C or higher
$547 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Warsaw under a warm, moderately humid air mass on August 1, 2026, with surface highs expected near 30–32°C amid broken cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms that could cap afternoon peaks. This setup, following elevated July readings, produces tight clustering in market-implied odds around 31–33°C because small shifts in timing of convection or boundary-layer mixing can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 25°C underscore the anomaly, while model spread on steering patterns and insolation keeps lower and higher outcomes viable but less favored. Traders monitor updated runs and local observations for resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$23,955Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Warsaw under a warm, moderately humid air mass on August 1, 2026, with surface highs expected near 30–32°C amid broken cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms that could cap afternoon peaks. This setup, following elevated July readings, produces tight clustering in market-implied odds around 31–33°C because small shifts in timing of convection or boundary-layer mixing can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 25°C underscore the anomaly, while model spread on steering patterns and insolation keeps lower and higher outcomes viable but less favored. Traders monitor updated runs and local observations for resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$23,955Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Warsaw under a warm, moderately humid air mass on August 1, 2026, with surface highs expected near 30–32°C amid broken cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms that could cap afternoon peaks. This setup, following elevated July readings, produces tight clustering in market-implied odds around 31–33°C because small shifts in timing of convection or boundary-layer mixing can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 25°C underscore the anomaly, while model spread on steering patterns and insolation keeps lower and higher outcomes viable but less favored. Traders monitor updated runs and local observations for resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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