Persistent high-pressure systems and an ongoing heatwave across northern France have kept Paris under mostly clear, warm conditions through late July into early August 2026, with Météo-France models showing daytime peaks well above seasonal norms and limited overnight radiational cooling. This setup favors minimum temperatures near or slightly above the early-August climatological average of 15–16 °C. Recent model runs still allow for possible thunderstorm-driven cooling or clearer skies that could nudge the low either way on August 2, but the absence of strong frontal passages supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 16 °C (50.5 %) and 15 °C (29 %). Updated forecasts and any last-minute convective developments will be the key near-term drivers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on August 2?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 2?
16°C 51%
15°C 29%
17°C 16%
14°C or below 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 2, 2026
14°C or below
8%
15°C
29%
16°C
51%
17°C
16%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
16°C 51%
15°C 29%
17°C 16%
14°C or below 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 2, 2026
14°C or below
$284 Обс.
8%
15°C
$300 Обс.
29%
16°C
$629 Обс.
51%
17°C
$186 Обс.
16%
18°C
$133 Обс.
2%
19°C
$179 Обс.
1%
20°C
$119 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$104 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$103 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$103 Обс.
<1%
24°C or higher
$133 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure systems and an ongoing heatwave across northern France have kept Paris under mostly clear, warm conditions through late July into early August 2026, with Météo-France models showing daytime peaks well above seasonal norms and limited overnight radiational cooling. This setup favors minimum temperatures near or slightly above the early-August climatological average of 15–16 °C. Recent model runs still allow for possible thunderstorm-driven cooling or clearer skies that could nudge the low either way on August 2, but the absence of strong frontal passages supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 16 °C (50.5 %) and 15 °C (29 %). Updated forecasts and any last-minute convective developments will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,272Дата завершення
Aug 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure systems and an ongoing heatwave across northern France have kept Paris under mostly clear, warm conditions through late July into early August 2026, with Météo-France models showing daytime peaks well above seasonal norms and limited overnight radiational cooling. This setup favors minimum temperatures near or slightly above the early-August climatological average of 15–16 °C. Recent model runs still allow for possible thunderstorm-driven cooling or clearer skies that could nudge the low either way on August 2, but the absence of strong frontal passages supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 16 °C (50.5 %) and 15 °C (29 %). Updated forecasts and any last-minute convective developments will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,272Дата завершення
Aug 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure systems and an ongoing heatwave across northern France have kept Paris under mostly clear, warm conditions through late July into early August 2026, with Météo-France models showing daytime peaks well above seasonal norms and limited overnight radiational cooling. This setup favors minimum temperatures near or slightly above the early-August climatological average of 15–16 °C. Recent model runs still allow for possible thunderstorm-driven cooling or clearer skies that could nudge the low either way on August 2, but the absence of strong frontal passages supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 16 °C (50.5 %) and 15 °C (29 %). Updated forecasts and any last-minute convective developments will be the key near-term drivers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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