The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast anchors trader sentiment at a 28°C minimum for August 24, citing a broad low-pressure trough with persistent southwesterly flow, scattered showers, and mainly cloudy conditions that limit overnight radiative cooling while sustaining elevated humidity. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures cluster near 27–28°C amid warm advection and minimal diurnal range. Model consensus from regional guidance shows little deviation, keeping implied probabilities above 96% for 28°C. The primary resolution risk remains a modest downward revision if heavier nocturnal precipitation or a brief wind shift enhances cooling, though current observations and the day's advanced timing make such shifts unlikely before the official daily minimum is recorded at the observatory.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
28°C 99%
27°C 2%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
$21,284 Обс.
$21,284 Обс.
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
99%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99%
27°C 2%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
$21,284 Обс.
$21,284 Обс.
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$120 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$120 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$210 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$1,510 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$1,851 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$2,232 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$3,594 Обс.
2%
28°C
$5,850 Обс.
99%
29°C
$5,543 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$125 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$130 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast anchors trader sentiment at a 28°C minimum for August 24, citing a broad low-pressure trough with persistent southwesterly flow, scattered showers, and mainly cloudy conditions that limit overnight radiative cooling while sustaining elevated humidity. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures cluster near 27–28°C amid warm advection and minimal diurnal range. Model consensus from regional guidance shows little deviation, keeping implied probabilities above 96% for 28°C. The primary resolution risk remains a modest downward revision if heavier nocturnal precipitation or a brief wind shift enhances cooling, though current observations and the day's advanced timing make such shifts unlikely before the official daily minimum is recorded at the observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$21,284Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast anchors trader sentiment at a 28°C minimum for August 24, citing a broad low-pressure trough with persistent southwesterly flow, scattered showers, and mainly cloudy conditions that limit overnight radiative cooling while sustaining elevated humidity. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures cluster near 27–28°C amid warm advection and minimal diurnal range. Model consensus from regional guidance shows little deviation, keeping implied probabilities above 96% for 28°C. The primary resolution risk remains a modest downward revision if heavier nocturnal precipitation or a brief wind shift enhances cooling, though current observations and the day's advanced timing make such shifts unlikely before the official daily minimum is recorded at the observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$21,284Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast anchors trader sentiment at a 28°C minimum for August 24, citing a broad low-pressure trough with persistent southwesterly flow, scattered showers, and mainly cloudy conditions that limit overnight radiative cooling while sustaining elevated humidity. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures cluster near 27–28°C amid warm advection and minimal diurnal range. Model consensus from regional guidance shows little deviation, keeping implied probabilities above 96% for 28°C. The primary resolution risk remains a modest downward revision if heavier nocturnal precipitation or a brief wind shift enhances cooling, though current observations and the day's advanced timing make such shifts unlikely before the official daily minimum is recorded at the observatory.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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