Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Beijing will experience a cooling trend with thundershowers on August 26, limiting peak temperatures amid increased cloud cover and precipitation. Model consensus points to daytime highs near 25–27°C, driven by a shift from hotter, more humid conditions earlier in the week (around 31–33°C) as a frontal boundary or enhanced monsoon moisture arrives, reducing solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 26–27°C because ensemble runs show modest spread in exact maxima depending on rainfall timing, storm intensity, and boundary-layer moisture—factors that can swing the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology in Beijing features variable late-month cooling episodes, reinforcing the current outlook over warmer scenarios that would require clearer skies or delayed rain. Updated model guidance expected from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours could further narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on August 26?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 26?
26°C 27%
27°C 26%
25°C 15%
29°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
14%
25°C
15%
26°C
27%
27°C
26%
28°C
13%
29°C
13%
30°C or higher
6%
26°C 27%
27°C 26%
25°C 15%
29°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
$15 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$0 Обс.
1%
22°C
$0 Обс.
1%
23°C
$0 Обс.
1%
24°C
$0 Обс.
14%
25°C
$8 Обс.
15%
26°C
$6 Обс.
27%
27°C
$6 Обс.
26%
28°C
$0 Обс.
13%
29°C
$20 Обс.
13%
30°C or higher
$141 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Beijing will experience a cooling trend with thundershowers on August 26, limiting peak temperatures amid increased cloud cover and precipitation. Model consensus points to daytime highs near 25–27°C, driven by a shift from hotter, more humid conditions earlier in the week (around 31–33°C) as a frontal boundary or enhanced monsoon moisture arrives, reducing solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling.
Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 26–27°C because ensemble runs show modest spread in exact maxima depending on rainfall timing, storm intensity, and boundary-layer moisture—factors that can swing the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology in Beijing features variable late-month cooling episodes, reinforcing the current outlook over warmer scenarios that would require clearer skies or delayed rain. Updated model guidance expected from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours could further narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$197Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Beijing will experience a cooling trend with thundershowers on August 26, limiting peak temperatures amid increased cloud cover and precipitation. Model consensus points to daytime highs near 25–27°C, driven by a shift from hotter, more humid conditions earlier in the week (around 31–33°C) as a frontal boundary or enhanced monsoon moisture arrives, reducing solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling.
Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 26–27°C because ensemble runs show modest spread in exact maxima depending on rainfall timing, storm intensity, and boundary-layer moisture—factors that can swing the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology in Beijing features variable late-month cooling episodes, reinforcing the current outlook over warmer scenarios that would require clearer skies or delayed rain. Updated model guidance expected from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours could further narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$197Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Beijing will experience a cooling trend with thundershowers on August 26, limiting peak temperatures amid increased cloud cover and precipitation. Model consensus points to daytime highs near 25–27°C, driven by a shift from hotter, more humid conditions earlier in the week (around 31–33°C) as a frontal boundary or enhanced monsoon moisture arrives, reducing solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 26–27°C because ensemble runs show modest spread in exact maxima depending on rainfall timing, storm intensity, and boundary-layer moisture—factors that can swing the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology in Beijing features variable late-month cooling episodes, reinforcing the current outlook over warmer scenarios that would require clearer skies or delayed rain. Updated model guidance expected from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours could further narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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