**Forecast consensus from major European models, including runs aligned with the Finnish Meteorological Institute, points to a peak temperature of 20–22°C in Helsinki on August 26, 2026, under weak pressure gradients and light northerly to variable winds that limit warming.** This places 21°C as the modal outcome in trader pricing, consistent with the 42.5% implied probability and nearby 20°C/22°C contracts. Late-August climatology shows an average daily high of 19.0°C at Helsinki Kaisaniemi, so current guidance reflects near-normal conditions without strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Recent model cycles have shown little shift, with limited spread across ensembles and dry conditions expected to support modest diurnal ranges. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs from ECMWF and national centers will provide the next key updates ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 26?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on August 26?
21°C 42%
22°C 28%
20°C 22%
23°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
14°C or below
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C
6%
19°C
5%
20°C
22%
21°C
42%
22°C
28%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
6%
21°C 42%
22°C 28%
20°C 22%
23°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
15°C
$0 Обс.
2%
16°C
$5 Обс.
3%
17°C
$5 Обс.
2%
18°C
$5 Обс.
6%
19°C
$82 Обс.
5%
20°C
$35 Обс.
22%
21°C
$77 Обс.
42%
22°C
$38 Обс.
28%
23°C
$0 Обс.
7%
24°C or higher
$5 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from major European models, including runs aligned with the Finnish Meteorological Institute, points to a peak temperature of 20–22°C in Helsinki on August 26, 2026, under weak pressure gradients and light northerly to variable winds that limit warming.**
This places 21°C as the modal outcome in trader pricing, consistent with the 42.5% implied probability and nearby 20°C/22°C contracts. Late-August climatology shows an average daily high of 19.0°C at Helsinki Kaisaniemi, so current guidance reflects near-normal conditions without strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Recent model cycles have shown little shift, with limited spread across ensembles and dry conditions expected to support modest diurnal ranges. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs from ECMWF and national centers will provide the next key updates ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$253Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from major European models, including runs aligned with the Finnish Meteorological Institute, points to a peak temperature of 20–22°C in Helsinki on August 26, 2026, under weak pressure gradients and light northerly to variable winds that limit warming.**
This places 21°C as the modal outcome in trader pricing, consistent with the 42.5% implied probability and nearby 20°C/22°C contracts. Late-August climatology shows an average daily high of 19.0°C at Helsinki Kaisaniemi, so current guidance reflects near-normal conditions without strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Recent model cycles have shown little shift, with limited spread across ensembles and dry conditions expected to support modest diurnal ranges. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs from ECMWF and national centers will provide the next key updates ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$253Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from major European models, including runs aligned with the Finnish Meteorological Institute, points to a peak temperature of 20–22°C in Helsinki on August 26, 2026, under weak pressure gradients and light northerly to variable winds that limit warming.** This places 21°C as the modal outcome in trader pricing, consistent with the 42.5% implied probability and nearby 20°C/22°C contracts. Late-August climatology shows an average daily high of 19.0°C at Helsinki Kaisaniemi, so current guidance reflects near-normal conditions without strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Recent model cycles have shown little shift, with limited spread across ensembles and dry conditions expected to support modest diurnal ranges. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs from ECMWF and national centers will provide the next key updates ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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