Current ensemble forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models point to a daytime maximum near 23–24°C in Amsterdam on August 26, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Moderating North Sea breezes, residual cloud cover from passing Atlantic fronts, and limited daytime heating under mixed sun and showers are the key variables keeping the peak from climbing higher. Historical late-August climatology averages 21–22°C, but recent model runs show slightly above-normal 850 hPa temperatures offset by higher boundary-layer moisture that caps surface warming. Minor shifts in frontal timing or insolation could easily differentiate 23°C from 25°C, leaving traders focused on the next high-resolution model updates for resolution clarity.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 26?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 26?
24°C 37%
25°C 32%
23°C 21%
26°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
7%
23°C
21%
24°C
37%
25°C
32%
26°C
11%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
4%
24°C 37%
25°C 32%
23°C 21%
26°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
$25 Обс.
2%
21°C
$5 Обс.
4%
22°C
$0 Обс.
7%
23°C
$0 Обс.
21%
24°C
$45 Обс.
37%
25°C
$7 Обс.
32%
26°C
$62 Обс.
11%
27°C
$0 Обс.
3%
28°C
$5 Обс.
6%
29°C
$0 Обс.
4%
30°C or higher
$0 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models point to a daytime maximum near 23–24°C in Amsterdam on August 26, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Moderating North Sea breezes, residual cloud cover from passing Atlantic fronts, and limited daytime heating under mixed sun and showers are the key variables keeping the peak from climbing higher. Historical late-August climatology averages 21–22°C, but recent model runs show slightly above-normal 850 hPa temperatures offset by higher boundary-layer moisture that caps surface warming. Minor shifts in frontal timing or insolation could easily differentiate 23°C from 25°C, leaving traders focused on the next high-resolution model updates for resolution clarity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$149Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models point to a daytime maximum near 23–24°C in Amsterdam on August 26, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Moderating North Sea breezes, residual cloud cover from passing Atlantic fronts, and limited daytime heating under mixed sun and showers are the key variables keeping the peak from climbing higher. Historical late-August climatology averages 21–22°C, but recent model runs show slightly above-normal 850 hPa temperatures offset by higher boundary-layer moisture that caps surface warming. Minor shifts in frontal timing or insolation could easily differentiate 23°C from 25°C, leaving traders focused on the next high-resolution model updates for resolution clarity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$149Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models point to a daytime maximum near 23–24°C in Amsterdam on August 26, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Moderating North Sea breezes, residual cloud cover from passing Atlantic fronts, and limited daytime heating under mixed sun and showers are the key variables keeping the peak from climbing higher. Historical late-August climatology averages 21–22°C, but recent model runs show slightly above-normal 850 hPa temperatures offset by higher boundary-layer moisture that caps surface warming. Minor shifts in frontal timing or insolation could easily differentiate 23°C from 25°C, leaving traders focused on the next high-resolution model updates for resolution clarity.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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