Trader consensus around 27–28°C minimums in Hong Kong on August 25 reflects typical late-summer conditions dominated by humid southwest monsoon flow and scattered showers, which limit nighttime radiative cooling. Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate overnight lows near 27°C amid cloud cover and light winds, consistent with August climatology of 26–28°C. Differentiation among 26–29°C hinges on exact timing and extent of convective activity, urban heat retention, and any subtle steering influences from distant tropical systems. With no major typhoon or frontal passage imminent, probabilities cluster tightly around historical norms, though updated model runs on wind and humidity could shift the balance before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 25?
28°C 39%
27°C 25%
26°C 14%
29°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
14%
27°C
25%
28°C
39%
29°C
10%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 39%
27°C 25%
26°C 14%
29°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
23°C or below
$190 Обс.
1%
24°C
$393 Обс.
2%
25°C
$224 Обс.
8%
26°C
$226 Обс.
14%
27°C
$526 Обс.
25%
28°C
$407 Обс.
39%
29°C
$1,042 Обс.
10%
30°C
$208 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$266 Обс.
1%
32°C
$263 Обс.
<1%
33°C or higher
$179 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus around 27–28°C minimums in Hong Kong on August 25 reflects typical late-summer conditions dominated by humid southwest monsoon flow and scattered showers, which limit nighttime radiative cooling. Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate overnight lows near 27°C amid cloud cover and light winds, consistent with August climatology of 26–28°C. Differentiation among 26–29°C hinges on exact timing and extent of convective activity, urban heat retention, and any subtle steering influences from distant tropical systems. With no major typhoon or frontal passage imminent, probabilities cluster tightly around historical norms, though updated model runs on wind and humidity could shift the balance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,922Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus around 27–28°C minimums in Hong Kong on August 25 reflects typical late-summer conditions dominated by humid southwest monsoon flow and scattered showers, which limit nighttime radiative cooling. Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate overnight lows near 27°C amid cloud cover and light winds, consistent with August climatology of 26–28°C. Differentiation among 26–29°C hinges on exact timing and extent of convective activity, urban heat retention, and any subtle steering influences from distant tropical systems. With no major typhoon or frontal passage imminent, probabilities cluster tightly around historical norms, though updated model runs on wind and humidity could shift the balance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$3,922Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 27–28°C minimums in Hong Kong on August 25 reflects typical late-summer conditions dominated by humid southwest monsoon flow and scattered showers, which limit nighttime radiative cooling. Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate overnight lows near 27°C amid cloud cover and light winds, consistent with August climatology of 26–28°C. Differentiation among 26–29°C hinges on exact timing and extent of convective activity, urban heat retention, and any subtle steering influences from distant tropical systems. With no major typhoon or frontal passage imminent, probabilities cluster tightly around historical norms, though updated model runs on wind and humidity could shift the balance before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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