Forecast uncertainty for Ankara’s daily minimum temperature on August 25 centers on ensemble model spread, with ECMWF and GFS runs projecting overnight lows of 16–18°C under persistent high-pressure conditions and light northeasterly flow. This aligns with climatological August averages near 17°C for the continental site, where clear skies and dry air allow efficient radiative cooling after daytime maxima of 32–34°C. The market’s near-even split between ≤15°C (45.5%) and ≥25°C (43.5%) reflects trader weighting of potential model shifts in boundary-layer mixing or localized urban heat effects versus the consensus central tendency around 16–18°C. Updated short-range guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and next model cycles will likely tighten resolution ahead of the 25th observation window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
25°C or higher 87%
15°C or below 45%
16°C 28%
17°C 28%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
45%
16°C
28%
17°C
28%
18°C
22%
19°C
13%
20°C
19%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
87%
25°C or higher 87%
15°C or below 45%
16°C 28%
17°C 28%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Обс.
45%
16°C
$0 Обс.
28%
17°C
$0 Обс.
28%
18°C
$0 Обс.
22%
19°C
$30 Обс.
13%
20°C
$15 Обс.
19%
21°C
$145 Обс.
1%
22°C
$135 Обс.
1%
23°C
$300 Обс.
1%
24°C
$445 Обс.
1%
25°C or higher
$5 Обс.
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Ankara’s daily minimum temperature on August 25 centers on ensemble model spread, with ECMWF and GFS runs projecting overnight lows of 16–18°C under persistent high-pressure conditions and light northeasterly flow. This aligns with climatological August averages near 17°C for the continental site, where clear skies and dry air allow efficient radiative cooling after daytime maxima of 32–34°C. The market’s near-even split between ≤15°C (45.5%) and ≥25°C (43.5%) reflects trader weighting of potential model shifts in boundary-layer mixing or localized urban heat effects versus the consensus central tendency around 16–18°C. Updated short-range guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and next model cycles will likely tighten resolution ahead of the 25th observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,075Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Ankara’s daily minimum temperature on August 25 centers on ensemble model spread, with ECMWF and GFS runs projecting overnight lows of 16–18°C under persistent high-pressure conditions and light northeasterly flow. This aligns with climatological August averages near 17°C for the continental site, where clear skies and dry air allow efficient radiative cooling after daytime maxima of 32–34°C. The market’s near-even split between ≤15°C (45.5%) and ≥25°C (43.5%) reflects trader weighting of potential model shifts in boundary-layer mixing or localized urban heat effects versus the consensus central tendency around 16–18°C. Updated short-range guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and next model cycles will likely tighten resolution ahead of the 25th observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,075Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty for Ankara’s daily minimum temperature on August 25 centers on ensemble model spread, with ECMWF and GFS runs projecting overnight lows of 16–18°C under persistent high-pressure conditions and light northeasterly flow. This aligns with climatological August averages near 17°C for the continental site, where clear skies and dry air allow efficient radiative cooling after daytime maxima of 32–34°C. The market’s near-even split between ≤15°C (45.5%) and ≥25°C (43.5%) reflects trader weighting of potential model shifts in boundary-layer mixing or localized urban heat effects versus the consensus central tendency around 16–18°C. Updated short-range guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and next model cycles will likely tighten resolution ahead of the 25th observation window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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