Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS indicate Amsterdam's overnight minimum on August 25 will likely fall between 12–13°C, driven by a strengthening easterly flow under high pressure that limits cloud cover and promotes modest radiative cooling. Model consensus shows dew points near 11–12°C and light winds (5–7 m/s) overnight, conditions that typically produce minima close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 12.8°C without significant advection of cooler air. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 12°C and 13°C because small differences in forecast cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact low by 1°C, while probabilities for 9°C or below remain lower due to the absence of northerly outbreaks or strong clear-sky radiative loss in current runs. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could further narrow this range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25?
13°C 44%
12°C 43%
11°C 36%
9°C or below 36%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
9°C or below
36%
10°C
8%
11°C
36%
12°C
43%
13°C
44%
14°C
27%
15°C
35%
16°C
10%
17°C
10%
18°C
4%
19°C or higher
35%
13°C 44%
12°C 43%
11°C 36%
9°C or below 36%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
9°C or below
$55 Обс.
36%
10°C
$5 Обс.
8%
11°C
$0 Обс.
36%
12°C
$0 Обс.
43%
13°C
$0 Обс.
44%
14°C
$0 Обс.
27%
15°C
$0 Обс.
35%
16°C
$0 Обс.
10%
17°C
$10 Обс.
10%
18°C
$5 Обс.
4%
19°C or higher
$5 Обс.
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS indicate Amsterdam's overnight minimum on August 25 will likely fall between 12–13°C, driven by a strengthening easterly flow under high pressure that limits cloud cover and promotes modest radiative cooling. Model consensus shows dew points near 11–12°C and light winds (5–7 m/s) overnight, conditions that typically produce minima close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 12.8°C without significant advection of cooler air. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 12°C and 13°C because small differences in forecast cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact low by 1°C, while probabilities for 9°C or below remain lower due to the absence of northerly outbreaks or strong clear-sky radiative loss in current runs. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could further narrow this range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$80Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS indicate Amsterdam's overnight minimum on August 25 will likely fall between 12–13°C, driven by a strengthening easterly flow under high pressure that limits cloud cover and promotes modest radiative cooling. Model consensus shows dew points near 11–12°C and light winds (5–7 m/s) overnight, conditions that typically produce minima close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 12.8°C without significant advection of cooler air. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 12°C and 13°C because small differences in forecast cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact low by 1°C, while probabilities for 9°C or below remain lower due to the absence of northerly outbreaks or strong clear-sky radiative loss in current runs. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could further narrow this range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$80Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS indicate Amsterdam's overnight minimum on August 25 will likely fall between 12–13°C, driven by a strengthening easterly flow under high pressure that limits cloud cover and promotes modest radiative cooling. Model consensus shows dew points near 11–12°C and light winds (5–7 m/s) overnight, conditions that typically produce minima close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 12.8°C without significant advection of cooler air. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 12°C and 13°C because small differences in forecast cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact low by 1°C, while probabilities for 9°C or below remain lower due to the absence of northerly outbreaks or strong clear-sky radiative loss in current runs. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could further narrow this range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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