Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to clear skies and light easterly flow over Amsterdam on August 24, promoting strong nocturnal radiational cooling under high pressure and yielding overnight lows centered near 10–12 °C. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest yet reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and exact timing of minimum temperature. Recent stabilization of the ridge has kept precipitation chances below 10 percent, supporting the cooler end of August climatology without the moderating influence of clouds or stronger winds that would lift minima several degrees higher. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine the precise threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
11°C 20%
10°C 19%
12°C 17%
8°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
6°C or below
2%
7°C
13%
8°C
15%
9°C
13%
10°C
19%
11°C
20%
12°C
17%
13°C
13%
14°C
7%
15°C
6%
16°C or higher
3%
11°C 20%
10°C 19%
12°C 17%
8°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
6°C or below
$95 Обс.
2%
7°C
$60 Обс.
13%
8°C
$5 Обс.
15%
9°C
$0 Обс.
13%
10°C
$0 Обс.
19%
11°C
$0 Обс.
20%
12°C
$0 Обс.
17%
13°C
$0 Обс.
13%
14°C
$142 Обс.
7%
15°C
$14 Обс.
6%
16°C or higher
$146 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to clear skies and light easterly flow over Amsterdam on August 24, promoting strong nocturnal radiational cooling under high pressure and yielding overnight lows centered near 10–12 °C. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest yet reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and exact timing of minimum temperature. Recent stabilization of the ridge has kept precipitation chances below 10 percent, supporting the cooler end of August climatology without the moderating influence of clouds or stronger winds that would lift minima several degrees higher. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine the precise threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$463Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to clear skies and light easterly flow over Amsterdam on August 24, promoting strong nocturnal radiational cooling under high pressure and yielding overnight lows centered near 10–12 °C. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest yet reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and exact timing of minimum temperature. Recent stabilization of the ridge has kept precipitation chances below 10 percent, supporting the cooler end of August climatology without the moderating influence of clouds or stronger winds that would lift minima several degrees higher. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine the precise threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$463Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to clear skies and light easterly flow over Amsterdam on August 24, promoting strong nocturnal radiational cooling under high pressure and yielding overnight lows centered near 10–12 °C. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest yet reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and exact timing of minimum temperature. Recent stabilization of the ridge has kept precipitation chances below 10 percent, supporting the cooler end of August climatology without the moderating influence of clouds or stronger winds that would lift minima several degrees higher. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine the precise threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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