Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services indicate mild overnight conditions in Moscow on August 31, with minimum temperatures likely between 10–15°C under variable cloudiness and possible light rain. Model spreads in guidance for radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing create genuine uncertainty around the precise low, keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered near 13–15°C. These odds aggregate skin-in-the-game assessments of evolving synoptic patterns rather than a single deterministic outcome. Updated model runs and official briefings from Gidromet over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range as the night progresses.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Moscow on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 31?
9°C or below 87%
19°C or higher 86%
17°C 50%
14°C 45%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
9°C or below
87%
10°C
42%
11°C
44%
12°C
42%
13°C
45%
14°C
45%
15°C
43%
16°C
43%
17°C
50%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
86%
9°C or below 87%
19°C or higher 86%
17°C 50%
14°C 45%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
9°C or below
$61 ปริมาณ
87%
10°C
$60 ปริมาณ
42%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
42%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
18°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
19°C or higher
$145 ปริมาณ
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services indicate mild overnight conditions in Moscow on August 31, with minimum temperatures likely between 10–15°C under variable cloudiness and possible light rain. Model spreads in guidance for radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing create genuine uncertainty around the precise low, keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered near 13–15°C. These odds aggregate skin-in-the-game assessments of evolving synoptic patterns rather than a single deterministic outcome. Updated model runs and official briefings from Gidromet over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$271วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services indicate mild overnight conditions in Moscow on August 31, with minimum temperatures likely between 10–15°C under variable cloudiness and possible light rain. Model spreads in guidance for radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing create genuine uncertainty around the precise low, keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered near 13–15°C. These odds aggregate skin-in-the-game assessments of evolving synoptic patterns rather than a single deterministic outcome. Updated model runs and official briefings from Gidromet over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$271วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services indicate mild overnight conditions in Moscow on August 31, with minimum temperatures likely between 10–15°C under variable cloudiness and possible light rain. Model spreads in guidance for radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing create genuine uncertainty around the precise low, keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered near 13–15°C. These odds aggregate skin-in-the-game assessments of evolving synoptic patterns rather than a single deterministic outcome. Updated model runs and official briefings from Gidromet over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range as the night progresses.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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