Recent numerical weather prediction model runs, including GFS outputs, indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum near 22–23 °C on 31 August under variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and only isolated light precipitation. This consensus aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 23 °C (47 %) and 22 °C (26 %), reflecting the absence of strong warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating that would push readings higher. Forecast guidance has remained stable over the past 48 hours, with only minor adjustments within the typical ensemble spread of ±1 °C. Historical late-August normals near 20–23 °C provide additional context, reinforcing trader focus on these two outcomes ahead of final observational confirmation from official Russian meteorological stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on August 31?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 31?
23°C 47%
22°C 26%
24°C 19%
21°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
26%
23°C
47%
24°C
19%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 47%
22°C 26%
24°C 19%
21°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
17°C or below
$194 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$164 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$27 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$83 ปริมาณ
3%
21°C
$548 ปริมาณ
6%
22°C
$767 ปริมาณ
26%
23°C
$368 ปริมาณ
47%
24°C
$554 ปริมาณ
19%
25°C
$444 ปริมาณ
4%
26°C
$341 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C or higher
$156 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model runs, including GFS outputs, indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum near 22–23 °C on 31 August under variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and only isolated light precipitation. This consensus aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 23 °C (47 %) and 22 °C (26 %), reflecting the absence of strong warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating that would push readings higher. Forecast guidance has remained stable over the past 48 hours, with only minor adjustments within the typical ensemble spread of ±1 °C. Historical late-August normals near 20–23 °C provide additional context, reinforcing trader focus on these two outcomes ahead of final observational confirmation from official Russian meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,647วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model runs, including GFS outputs, indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum near 22–23 °C on 31 August under variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and only isolated light precipitation. This consensus aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 23 °C (47 %) and 22 °C (26 %), reflecting the absence of strong warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating that would push readings higher. Forecast guidance has remained stable over the past 48 hours, with only minor adjustments within the typical ensemble spread of ±1 °C. Historical late-August normals near 20–23 °C provide additional context, reinforcing trader focus on these two outcomes ahead of final observational confirmation from official Russian meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,647วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction model runs, including GFS outputs, indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum near 22–23 °C on 31 August under variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and only isolated light precipitation. This consensus aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 23 °C (47 %) and 22 °C (26 %), reflecting the absence of strong warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating that would push readings higher. Forecast guidance has remained stable over the past 48 hours, with only minor adjustments within the typical ensemble spread of ±1 °C. Historical late-August normals near 20–23 °C provide additional context, reinforcing trader focus on these two outcomes ahead of final observational confirmation from official Russian meteorological stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย