**Trader consensus on the Moscow highest temperature market for August 30, 2026, has converged on 22°C at essentially 100% implied probability due to consistent official forecasts and real-time observations aligning precisely with that threshold.** Late August climatology shows Moscow’s average daily high near 20°C, and current synoptic conditions—southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and scattered light rain—have kept daytime maxima in the 20–22°C range without significant deviation. Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance and multiple model outputs issued on the day itself explicitly cap the high at +20 to +22°C, with hourly readings peaking around 21.5–21.9°C under mostly overcast skies. This agreement between agency forecasts, ensemble means, and emerging station data leaves little room for outcomes outside the narrow 22°C bin. The only realistic paths to a different resolution would require a rapid, unforecast shift such as unexpected clearing skies allowing additional solar heating or an abrupt wind change strengthening advection of cooler air—both of which are improbable given the day’s advanced stage and the stability of the current pressure and moisture fields. Market pricing therefore reflects the high-confidence alignment between observed conditions and the official maximum-temperature criterion used for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on August 30?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 30?
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$20,310 ปริมาณ
$20,310 ปริมาณ
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$20,310 ปริมาณ
$20,310 ปริมาณ
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
$335 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$358 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$798 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$1,374 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$3,740 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$3,634 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$4,346 ปริมาณ
100%
23°C
$3,048 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$1,495 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$969 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C or higher
$215 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Moscow highest temperature market for August 30, 2026, has converged on 22°C at essentially 100% implied probability due to consistent official forecasts and real-time observations aligning precisely with that threshold.**
Late August climatology shows Moscow’s average daily high near 20°C, and current synoptic conditions—southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and scattered light rain—have kept daytime maxima in the 20–22°C range without significant deviation. Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance and multiple model outputs issued on the day itself explicitly cap the high at +20 to +22°C, with hourly readings peaking around 21.5–21.9°C under mostly overcast skies. This agreement between agency forecasts, ensemble means, and emerging station data leaves little room for outcomes outside the narrow 22°C bin.
The only realistic paths to a different resolution would require a rapid, unforecast shift such as unexpected clearing skies allowing additional solar heating or an abrupt wind change strengthening advection of cooler air—both of which are improbable given the day’s advanced stage and the stability of the current pressure and moisture fields. Market pricing therefore reflects the high-confidence alignment between observed conditions and the official maximum-temperature criterion used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,310วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Moscow highest temperature market for August 30, 2026, has converged on 22°C at essentially 100% implied probability due to consistent official forecasts and real-time observations aligning precisely with that threshold.**
Late August climatology shows Moscow’s average daily high near 20°C, and current synoptic conditions—southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and scattered light rain—have kept daytime maxima in the 20–22°C range without significant deviation. Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance and multiple model outputs issued on the day itself explicitly cap the high at +20 to +22°C, with hourly readings peaking around 21.5–21.9°C under mostly overcast skies. This agreement between agency forecasts, ensemble means, and emerging station data leaves little room for outcomes outside the narrow 22°C bin.
The only realistic paths to a different resolution would require a rapid, unforecast shift such as unexpected clearing skies allowing additional solar heating or an abrupt wind change strengthening advection of cooler air—both of which are improbable given the day’s advanced stage and the stability of the current pressure and moisture fields. Market pricing therefore reflects the high-confidence alignment between observed conditions and the official maximum-temperature criterion used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,310วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Moscow highest temperature market for August 30, 2026, has converged on 22°C at essentially 100% implied probability due to consistent official forecasts and real-time observations aligning precisely with that threshold.** Late August climatology shows Moscow’s average daily high near 20°C, and current synoptic conditions—southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and scattered light rain—have kept daytime maxima in the 20–22°C range without significant deviation. Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance and multiple model outputs issued on the day itself explicitly cap the high at +20 to +22°C, with hourly readings peaking around 21.5–21.9°C under mostly overcast skies. This agreement between agency forecasts, ensemble means, and emerging station data leaves little room for outcomes outside the narrow 22°C bin. The only realistic paths to a different resolution would require a rapid, unforecast shift such as unexpected clearing skies allowing additional solar heating or an abrupt wind change strengthening advection of cooler air—both of which are improbable given the day’s advanced stage and the stability of the current pressure and moisture fields. Market pricing therefore reflects the high-confidence alignment between observed conditions and the official maximum-temperature criterion used for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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