**Trader consensus centers on a minimum of 25–26°C for Hong Kong on September 1, 2026, reflecting model consensus for overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius amid persistent cloud cover, showers, and northeasterly flow.** Hong Kong’s subtropical climate in early September typically features average overnight lows near 26°C, with highs around 30–31°C. Current forecasts from sources such as WeatherBug, Yr.no, and EaseWeather indicate a low near 24–26°C (roughly 74–79°F) under mostly cloudy skies, 50–60% rain chances, and northeast winds of 10–20 km/h that limit radiational cooling. A broad low-pressure trough across the South China Sea and Guangdong coast continues to deliver unstable, humid air (dew points near 24–25°C), suppressing clear skies and keeping the minimum from dropping further. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong cold surge or typhoon influence expected to alter the pattern before the period ends. Official Hong Kong Observatory data, which will determine market resolution, aligns with this range, supporting the elevated probabilities on 25°C and 26°C outcomes while assigning lower odds to extremes below 24°C or above 27°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 1?
26°C 63%
25°C 43%
27°C 27.5%
24°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
22°C or below
9%
23°C
<1%
24°C
15%
25°C
35%
26°C
53%
27°C
28%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 63%
25°C 43%
27°C 27.5%
24°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
22°C or below
$776 ปริมาณ
9%
23°C
$458 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$414 ปริมาณ
15%
25°C
$1,463 ปริมาณ
35%
26°C
$1,572 ปริมาณ
53%
27°C
$2,239 ปริมาณ
28%
28°C
$194 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$375 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$317 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$94 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C or higher
$194 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus centers on a minimum of 25–26°C for Hong Kong on September 1, 2026, reflecting model consensus for overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius amid persistent cloud cover, showers, and northeasterly flow.**
Hong Kong’s subtropical climate in early September typically features average overnight lows near 26°C, with highs around 30–31°C. Current forecasts from sources such as WeatherBug, Yr.no, and EaseWeather indicate a low near 24–26°C (roughly 74–79°F) under mostly cloudy skies, 50–60% rain chances, and northeast winds of 10–20 km/h that limit radiational cooling. A broad low-pressure trough across the South China Sea and Guangdong coast continues to deliver unstable, humid air (dew points near 24–25°C), suppressing clear skies and keeping the minimum from dropping further. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong cold surge or typhoon influence expected to alter the pattern before the period ends. Official Hong Kong Observatory data, which will determine market resolution, aligns with this range, supporting the elevated probabilities on 25°C and 26°C outcomes while assigning lower odds to extremes below 24°C or above 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,096วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus centers on a minimum of 25–26°C for Hong Kong on September 1, 2026, reflecting model consensus for overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius amid persistent cloud cover, showers, and northeasterly flow.**
Hong Kong’s subtropical climate in early September typically features average overnight lows near 26°C, with highs around 30–31°C. Current forecasts from sources such as WeatherBug, Yr.no, and EaseWeather indicate a low near 24–26°C (roughly 74–79°F) under mostly cloudy skies, 50–60% rain chances, and northeast winds of 10–20 km/h that limit radiational cooling. A broad low-pressure trough across the South China Sea and Guangdong coast continues to deliver unstable, humid air (dew points near 24–25°C), suppressing clear skies and keeping the minimum from dropping further. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong cold surge or typhoon influence expected to alter the pattern before the period ends. Official Hong Kong Observatory data, which will determine market resolution, aligns with this range, supporting the elevated probabilities on 25°C and 26°C outcomes while assigning lower odds to extremes below 24°C or above 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,096วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a minimum of 25–26°C for Hong Kong on September 1, 2026, reflecting model consensus for overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius amid persistent cloud cover, showers, and northeasterly flow.** Hong Kong’s subtropical climate in early September typically features average overnight lows near 26°C, with highs around 30–31°C. Current forecasts from sources such as WeatherBug, Yr.no, and EaseWeather indicate a low near 24–26°C (roughly 74–79°F) under mostly cloudy skies, 50–60% rain chances, and northeast winds of 10–20 km/h that limit radiational cooling. A broad low-pressure trough across the South China Sea and Guangdong coast continues to deliver unstable, humid air (dew points near 24–25°C), suppressing clear skies and keeping the minimum from dropping further. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong cold surge or typhoon influence expected to alter the pattern before the period ends. Official Hong Kong Observatory data, which will determine market resolution, aligns with this range, supporting the elevated probabilities on 25°C and 26°C outcomes while assigning lower odds to extremes below 24°C or above 27°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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