Recent late-August heat across northern Italy, with Milan highs reaching 30–32°C under clear skies and light westerly flow, has set the stage for September 1. Forecasts from multiple models show partly cloudy conditions and modest easterly winds that could cap peak heating near 29–30°C, consistent with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Key variables include afternoon cloud timing, which reduces insolation, surface moisture from recent dew points around 15–17°C, and the urban heat island effect in the Po Valley. Historical early-September maxima average 27–28°C, so any delay in cloud build-up or stronger subsidence could push readings higher, while earlier convection would favor the lower side. Updated ECMWF and local agency guidance expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these narrow margins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on September 1?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 1?
29°C 39%
30°C 38%
28°C 14%
31°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
14%
29°C
39%
30°C
38%
31°C
9%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 39%
30°C 38%
28°C 14%
31°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
24°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$4 ปริมาณ
3%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
28°C
$148 ปริมาณ
14%
29°C
$25 ปริมาณ
39%
30°C
$80 ปริมาณ
38%
31°C
$38 ปริมาณ
9%
32°C
$15 ปริมาณ
4%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
34°C or higher
$14 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent late-August heat across northern Italy, with Milan highs reaching 30–32°C under clear skies and light westerly flow, has set the stage for September 1. Forecasts from multiple models show partly cloudy conditions and modest easterly winds that could cap peak heating near 29–30°C, consistent with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Key variables include afternoon cloud timing, which reduces insolation, surface moisture from recent dew points around 15–17°C, and the urban heat island effect in the Po Valley. Historical early-September maxima average 27–28°C, so any delay in cloud build-up or stronger subsidence could push readings higher, while earlier convection would favor the lower side. Updated ECMWF and local agency guidance expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these narrow margins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$325วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent late-August heat across northern Italy, with Milan highs reaching 30–32°C under clear skies and light westerly flow, has set the stage for September 1. Forecasts from multiple models show partly cloudy conditions and modest easterly winds that could cap peak heating near 29–30°C, consistent with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Key variables include afternoon cloud timing, which reduces insolation, surface moisture from recent dew points around 15–17°C, and the urban heat island effect in the Po Valley. Historical early-September maxima average 27–28°C, so any delay in cloud build-up or stronger subsidence could push readings higher, while earlier convection would favor the lower side. Updated ECMWF and local agency guidance expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these narrow margins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$325วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent late-August heat across northern Italy, with Milan highs reaching 30–32°C under clear skies and light westerly flow, has set the stage for September 1. Forecasts from multiple models show partly cloudy conditions and modest easterly winds that could cap peak heating near 29–30°C, consistent with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Key variables include afternoon cloud timing, which reduces insolation, surface moisture from recent dew points around 15–17°C, and the urban heat island effect in the Po Valley. Historical early-September maxima average 27–28°C, so any delay in cloud build-up or stronger subsidence could push readings higher, while earlier convection would favor the lower side. Updated ECMWF and local agency guidance expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these narrow margins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย