Wellington, New Zealand, channels strong Southern Ocean westerlies through the narrow Cook Strait and rugged topography, producing peak gusts often exceeding 90 km/h in September as spring strengthens pressure gradients. Traders see balanced odds across the 89 km/h, 90–101 km/h, and 102+ km/h buckets because seasonal forecasts show high uncertainty in the timing and intensity of passing lows and fronts, with model runs diverging on whether amplified jet-stream flow or blocking highs will dominate. Historical data indicate typical maxima near 95–105 km/h, yet ENSO-neutral conditions this year introduce variability in storm frequency and orographic acceleration, leaving room for either subdued or extreme events depending on the next MetService and ECMWF updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPeak wind gust in the world's windiest city in September
89 km/h or below 50%
90 to 101 km/h 50%
102 km/h or above 50%
89 km/h or below
50%
90 to 101 km/h
50%
102 km/h or above
50%
89 km/h or below 50%
90 to 101 km/h 50%
102 km/h or above 50%
89 km/h or below
50%
90 to 101 km/h
50%
102 km/h or above
50%
The resolution source for this market is the gust value in the wind group of NZWN's raw METAR/SPECI observations, encoded in knots (for example, "34020G45KT" denotes a 45-knot gust), as archived by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) for station NZWN in network NF__ASOS ("New Zealand ASOS"). Gust speed is converted from knots using 1 kt = 1.852 km/h, rounded half-up to the nearest whole number. Because gusts are reported in whole knots, no observed gust converts to a value on a bracket boundary, so every observation maps to exactly one range.
The month's highest gust can be located via the IEM Data Calendar for NZWN: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/hist.phtml?network=NF__ASOS&year=2026&month=9&mode=monthly&station=NZWN. Each calendar day displays that day's peak gust inline; clicking a day's date opens the daily Summary for NF__ASOS, where the Peak Gust column in the NZWN (Wellington) row shows the day's maximum. Ensure station NZWN is selected, as the NF__ASOS network includes other New Zealand stations. Note that the IEM calendar and summary pages display gusts in mph; resolution is based on the knot value in the underlying raw METAR, which IEM archives alongside each parsed observation and which can be used to independently verify any value.
If any observations are missing or unavailable, this market will resolve to the range containing the highest gust reported during the resolution window. Should the IEM archive be unavailable or discontinued, this market will resolve based on the equivalent raw METAR/SPECI observations for NZWN from another credible archive or the original reporting authority.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 9:46 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is the gust value in the wind group of NZWN's raw METAR/SPECI observations, encoded in knots (for example, "34020G45KT" denotes a 45-knot gust), as archived by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) for station NZWN in network NF__ASOS ("New Zealand ASOS"). Gust speed is converted from knots using 1 kt = 1.852 km/h, rounded half-up to the nearest whole number. Because gusts are reported in whole knots, no observed gust converts to a value on a bracket boundary, so every observation maps to exactly one range.
The month's highest gust can be located via the IEM Data Calendar for NZWN: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/hist.phtml?network=NF__ASOS&year=2026&month=9&mode=monthly&station=NZWN. Each calendar day displays that day's peak gust inline; clicking a day's date opens the daily Summary for NF__ASOS, where the Peak Gust column in the NZWN (Wellington) row shows the day's maximum. Ensure station NZWN is selected, as the NF__ASOS network includes other New Zealand stations. Note that the IEM calendar and summary pages display gusts in mph; resolution is based on the knot value in the underlying raw METAR, which IEM archives alongside each parsed observation and which can be used to independently verify any value.
If any observations are missing or unavailable, this market will resolve to the range containing the highest gust reported during the resolution window. Should the IEM archive be unavailable or discontinued, this market will resolve based on the equivalent raw METAR/SPECI observations for NZWN from another credible archive or the original reporting authority.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Wellington, New Zealand, channels strong Southern Ocean westerlies through the narrow Cook Strait and rugged topography, producing peak gusts often exceeding 90 km/h in September as spring strengthens pressure gradients. Traders see balanced odds across the 89 km/h, 90–101 km/h, and 102+ km/h buckets because seasonal forecasts show high uncertainty in the timing and intensity of passing lows and fronts, with model runs diverging on whether amplified jet-stream flow or blocking highs will dominate. Historical data indicate typical maxima near 95–105 km/h, yet ENSO-neutral conditions this year introduce variability in storm frequency and orographic acceleration, leaving room for either subdued or extreme events depending on the next MetService and ECMWF updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย