Recent MetService and international model guidance positions northwest winds and mostly sunny to overcast conditions to deliver a daytime maximum near 15–16 °C in Wellington on 2 September, aligning with the market’s strong 65 % implied probability for 16 °C. Early-spring climatology shows average highs around 13 °C, so current forecasts reflect a modest positive anomaly linked to a developing El Niño pattern and a weakening southwesterly flow after recent gales. Model consensus remains tight on the temperature range, with only minor spread from local sea-breeze or cloud effects that could trim the peak by 1 °C. Updated runs from the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research and MetService, expected within the next 24–48 hours, will refine wind and cloud details ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on September 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 2?
16°C 65%
15°C 19%
17°C 13%
18°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
19%
16°C
65%
17°C
13%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 65%
15°C 19%
17°C 13%
18°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
10°C or below
$295 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$313 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$397 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$258 ปริมาณ
1%
14°C
$285 ปริมาณ
2%
15°C
$1,853 ปริมาณ
19%
16°C
$577 ปริมาณ
65%
17°C
$311 ปริมาณ
13%
18°C
$111 ปริมาณ
4%
19°C
$227 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C or higher
$222 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and international model guidance positions northwest winds and mostly sunny to overcast conditions to deliver a daytime maximum near 15–16 °C in Wellington on 2 September, aligning with the market’s strong 65 % implied probability for 16 °C. Early-spring climatology shows average highs around 13 °C, so current forecasts reflect a modest positive anomaly linked to a developing El Niño pattern and a weakening southwesterly flow after recent gales. Model consensus remains tight on the temperature range, with only minor spread from local sea-breeze or cloud effects that could trim the peak by 1 °C. Updated runs from the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research and MetService, expected within the next 24–48 hours, will refine wind and cloud details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,849วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and international model guidance positions northwest winds and mostly sunny to overcast conditions to deliver a daytime maximum near 15–16 °C in Wellington on 2 September, aligning with the market’s strong 65 % implied probability for 16 °C. Early-spring climatology shows average highs around 13 °C, so current forecasts reflect a modest positive anomaly linked to a developing El Niño pattern and a weakening southwesterly flow after recent gales. Model consensus remains tight on the temperature range, with only minor spread from local sea-breeze or cloud effects that could trim the peak by 1 °C. Updated runs from the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research and MetService, expected within the next 24–48 hours, will refine wind and cloud details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,849วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService and international model guidance positions northwest winds and mostly sunny to overcast conditions to deliver a daytime maximum near 15–16 °C in Wellington on 2 September, aligning with the market’s strong 65 % implied probability for 16 °C. Early-spring climatology shows average highs around 13 °C, so current forecasts reflect a modest positive anomaly linked to a developing El Niño pattern and a weakening southwesterly flow after recent gales. Model consensus remains tight on the temperature range, with only minor spread from local sea-breeze or cloud effects that could trim the peak by 1 °C. Updated runs from the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research and MetService, expected within the next 24–48 hours, will refine wind and cloud details ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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