Persistent easterly flow and widespread tropical moisture are driving afternoon convective storms across South Florida, which limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. National Weather Service point forecasts and ensemble guidance issued August 30 consistently project a Monday high near 88°F for the Miami area, with 60-70% storm chances after midday that typically prevent temperatures from climbing much beyond the mid-to-upper 80s. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs hover around 90°F but are frequently suppressed by sea-breeze convergence and showers. Traders have placed the strongest implied probability (48%) on the 90-91°F bin, reflecting modest upside potential from delayed convection or localized urban heating effects, while the 88-89°F and 92-93°F outcomes capture the remaining uncertainty in storm timing and intensity. New model runs and the next NWS update on August 31 morning will be the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Miami on August 31?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 31?
90-91°F 48%
88-89°F 22%
92-93°F 22%
86-87°F 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
22%
90-91°F
48%
92-93°F
22%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
1%
90-91°F 48%
88-89°F 22%
92-93°F 22%
86-87°F 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
79°F or below
$1,110 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-81°F
$292 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$993 ปริมาณ
2%
84-85°F
$539 ปริมาณ
3%
86-87°F
$446 ปริมาณ
5%
88-89°F
$280 ปริมาณ
22%
90-91°F
$428 ปริมาณ
48%
92-93°F
$1,298 ปริมาณ
22%
94-95°F
$215 ปริมาณ
4%
96-97°F
$256 ปริมาณ
<1%
98°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent easterly flow and widespread tropical moisture are driving afternoon convective storms across South Florida, which limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. National Weather Service point forecasts and ensemble guidance issued August 30 consistently project a Monday high near 88°F for the Miami area, with 60-70% storm chances after midday that typically prevent temperatures from climbing much beyond the mid-to-upper 80s. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs hover around 90°F but are frequently suppressed by sea-breeze convergence and showers. Traders have placed the strongest implied probability (48%) on the 90-91°F bin, reflecting modest upside potential from delayed convection or localized urban heating effects, while the 88-89°F and 92-93°F outcomes capture the remaining uncertainty in storm timing and intensity. New model runs and the next NWS update on August 31 morning will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,856วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent easterly flow and widespread tropical moisture are driving afternoon convective storms across South Florida, which limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. National Weather Service point forecasts and ensemble guidance issued August 30 consistently project a Monday high near 88°F for the Miami area, with 60-70% storm chances after midday that typically prevent temperatures from climbing much beyond the mid-to-upper 80s. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs hover around 90°F but are frequently suppressed by sea-breeze convergence and showers. Traders have placed the strongest implied probability (48%) on the 90-91°F bin, reflecting modest upside potential from delayed convection or localized urban heating effects, while the 88-89°F and 92-93°F outcomes capture the remaining uncertainty in storm timing and intensity. New model runs and the next NWS update on August 31 morning will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,856วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent easterly flow and widespread tropical moisture are driving afternoon convective storms across South Florida, which limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. National Weather Service point forecasts and ensemble guidance issued August 30 consistently project a Monday high near 88°F for the Miami area, with 60-70% storm chances after midday that typically prevent temperatures from climbing much beyond the mid-to-upper 80s. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs hover around 90°F but are frequently suppressed by sea-breeze convergence and showers. Traders have placed the strongest implied probability (48%) on the 90-91°F bin, reflecting modest upside potential from delayed convection or localized urban heating effects, while the 88-89°F and 92-93°F outcomes capture the remaining uncertainty in storm timing and intensity. New model runs and the next NWS update on August 31 morning will be the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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