Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models converge on a daily maximum near 24°C for Mexico City on September 2, driven by the ongoing early-September rainy season with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southerly flow that limits daytime heating. Historical climatology shows average highs of 22–23°C, while current runs place the outcome in the 22–25°C range, with 24°C attracting the strongest market-implied probability at 43%. Persistent moisture and expected afternoon convection introduce modest uncertainty, as stronger insolation or clearer skies could nudge readings toward 25°C. Updated model guidance and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 2?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 2?
24°C 43%
23°C 36%
25°C 26%
22°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
13%
23°C
27%
24°C
43%
25°C
26%
26°C or higher
5%
24°C 43%
23°C 36%
25°C 26%
22°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
16°C or below
$135 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$135 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$145 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C
$16 ปริมาณ
7%
22°C
$17 ปริมาณ
13%
23°C
$7 ปริมาณ
27%
24°C
$37 ปริมาณ
43%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
26°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models converge on a daily maximum near 24°C for Mexico City on September 2, driven by the ongoing early-September rainy season with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southerly flow that limits daytime heating. Historical climatology shows average highs of 22–23°C, while current runs place the outcome in the 22–25°C range, with 24°C attracting the strongest market-implied probability at 43%. Persistent moisture and expected afternoon convection introduce modest uncertainty, as stronger insolation or clearer skies could nudge readings toward 25°C. Updated model guidance and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$502วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models converge on a daily maximum near 24°C for Mexico City on September 2, driven by the ongoing early-September rainy season with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southerly flow that limits daytime heating. Historical climatology shows average highs of 22–23°C, while current runs place the outcome in the 22–25°C range, with 24°C attracting the strongest market-implied probability at 43%. Persistent moisture and expected afternoon convection introduce modest uncertainty, as stronger insolation or clearer skies could nudge readings toward 25°C. Updated model guidance and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$502วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models converge on a daily maximum near 24°C for Mexico City on September 2, driven by the ongoing early-September rainy season with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southerly flow that limits daytime heating. Historical climatology shows average highs of 22–23°C, while current runs place the outcome in the 22–25°C range, with 24°C attracting the strongest market-implied probability at 43%. Persistent moisture and expected afternoon convection introduce modest uncertainty, as stronger insolation or clearer skies could nudge readings toward 25°C. Updated model guidance and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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