Latest numerical weather prediction outputs, including GFS and regional models, indicate Warsaw may reach daily maxima near 26–28 °C on 31 August under southwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies, supporting the 58.5 % market-implied probability for 27 °C or higher. Scattered thunderstorm chances (45–66 % in several runs) introduce uncertainty, as increased cloud cover and precipitation could suppress peak readings toward 25–26 °C, aligning with the combined 36.5 % odds on those bins. Official monitoring from IMGW-PIB and consensus guidance show modest warming relative to recent days, yet steering patterns and timing of any frontal passage remain key variables that could shift realized maxima before the observation window closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 31?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 31?
27°C or higher 59%
26°C 29%
25°C 8%
24°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
8%
26°C
29%
27°C or higher
59%
27°C or higher 59%
26°C 29%
25°C 8%
24°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
17°C or below
$251 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$254 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$351 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$351 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$215 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$497 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$342 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$315 ปริมาณ
4%
25°C
$1,460 ปริมาณ
8%
26°C
$852 ปริมาณ
29%
27°C or higher
$3,012 ปริมาณ
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction outputs, including GFS and regional models, indicate Warsaw may reach daily maxima near 26–28 °C on 31 August under southwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies, supporting the 58.5 % market-implied probability for 27 °C or higher. Scattered thunderstorm chances (45–66 % in several runs) introduce uncertainty, as increased cloud cover and precipitation could suppress peak readings toward 25–26 °C, aligning with the combined 36.5 % odds on those bins. Official monitoring from IMGW-PIB and consensus guidance show modest warming relative to recent days, yet steering patterns and timing of any frontal passage remain key variables that could shift realized maxima before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,900วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction outputs, including GFS and regional models, indicate Warsaw may reach daily maxima near 26–28 °C on 31 August under southwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies, supporting the 58.5 % market-implied probability for 27 °C or higher. Scattered thunderstorm chances (45–66 % in several runs) introduce uncertainty, as increased cloud cover and precipitation could suppress peak readings toward 25–26 °C, aligning with the combined 36.5 % odds on those bins. Official monitoring from IMGW-PIB and consensus guidance show modest warming relative to recent days, yet steering patterns and timing of any frontal passage remain key variables that could shift realized maxima before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,900วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction outputs, including GFS and regional models, indicate Warsaw may reach daily maxima near 26–28 °C on 31 August under southwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies, supporting the 58.5 % market-implied probability for 27 °C or higher. Scattered thunderstorm chances (45–66 % in several runs) introduce uncertainty, as increased cloud cover and precipitation could suppress peak readings toward 25–26 °C, aligning with the combined 36.5 % odds on those bins. Official monitoring from IMGW-PIB and consensus guidance show modest warming relative to recent days, yet steering patterns and timing of any frontal passage remain key variables that could shift realized maxima before the observation window closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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