Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including AEMET-aligned models and European agencies, point to clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and light variable winds over Madrid on August 31, supporting a daily maximum near 33–34°C under a stable high-pressure regime typical of late-summer continental conditions. This consensus drives the market's strong preference for 34°C as the implied outcome, with modest probability on 35°C reflecting slight upside potential from peak insolation. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet recent days have trended warmer without significant synoptic changes expected before resolution. Traders are monitoring the final model runs and official AEMET bulletins for any last adjustments in thermal advection or boundary-layer mixing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on August 31?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 31?
34°C 62%
35°C 19%
33°C 16%
32°C 2%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
16%
34°C
62%
35°C
19%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 62%
35°C 19%
33°C 16%
32°C 2%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
29°C or below
$248 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$170 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$117 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$258 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C
$1,101 ปริมาณ
16%
34°C
$1,100 ปริมาณ
62%
35°C
$1,746 ปริมาณ
19%
36°C
$305 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C
$124 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C
$221 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C or higher
$138 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including AEMET-aligned models and European agencies, point to clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and light variable winds over Madrid on August 31, supporting a daily maximum near 33–34°C under a stable high-pressure regime typical of late-summer continental conditions. This consensus drives the market's strong preference for 34°C as the implied outcome, with modest probability on 35°C reflecting slight upside potential from peak insolation. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet recent days have trended warmer without significant synoptic changes expected before resolution. Traders are monitoring the final model runs and official AEMET bulletins for any last adjustments in thermal advection or boundary-layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,527วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including AEMET-aligned models and European agencies, point to clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and light variable winds over Madrid on August 31, supporting a daily maximum near 33–34°C under a stable high-pressure regime typical of late-summer continental conditions. This consensus drives the market's strong preference for 34°C as the implied outcome, with modest probability on 35°C reflecting slight upside potential from peak insolation. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet recent days have trended warmer without significant synoptic changes expected before resolution. Traders are monitoring the final model runs and official AEMET bulletins for any last adjustments in thermal advection or boundary-layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,527วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including AEMET-aligned models and European agencies, point to clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and light variable winds over Madrid on August 31, supporting a daily maximum near 33–34°C under a stable high-pressure regime typical of late-summer continental conditions. This consensus drives the market's strong preference for 34°C as the implied outcome, with modest probability on 35°C reflecting slight upside potential from peak insolation. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet recent days have trended warmer without significant synoptic changes expected before resolution. Traders are monitoring the final model runs and official AEMET bulletins for any last adjustments in thermal advection or boundary-layer mixing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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