Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET agency for August 30, 2026, show clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and an afternoon maximum near 32–33 °C in central Madrid under strong solar heating and subsiding high pressure, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (73.5 %). Recent model runs and station observations from the prior 48 hours confirm a steady temperature climb from ~30 °C the day before, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs average 30.3 °C. The modest 21 % probability attached to 34 °C reflects residual uncertainty in peak insolation and urban heat-island effects, while outcomes below 32 °C or at 35 °C and above remain below 5 % given the absence of cloud cover or frontal systems. Final market resolution hinges on the official Retiro or Barajas maximum reported by AEMET once the day closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on August 30?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 30?
33°C 73%
34°C 21%
32°C 5%
31°C 2%
$15,789 ปริมาณ
$15,789 ปริมาณ
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
73%
34°C
21%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 73%
34°C 21%
32°C 5%
31°C 2%
$15,789 ปริมาณ
$15,789 ปริมาณ
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
$1,363 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$292 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$369 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$685 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C
$3,058 ปริมาณ
5%
33°C
$3,802 ปริมาณ
73%
34°C
$4,561 ปริมาณ
21%
35°C
$807 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$261 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C
$400 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C or higher
$191 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET agency for August 30, 2026, show clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and an afternoon maximum near 32–33 °C in central Madrid under strong solar heating and subsiding high pressure, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (73.5 %). Recent model runs and station observations from the prior 48 hours confirm a steady temperature climb from ~30 °C the day before, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs average 30.3 °C. The modest 21 % probability attached to 34 °C reflects residual uncertainty in peak insolation and urban heat-island effects, while outcomes below 32 °C or at 35 °C and above remain below 5 % given the absence of cloud cover or frontal systems. Final market resolution hinges on the official Retiro or Barajas maximum reported by AEMET once the day closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,789วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET agency for August 30, 2026, show clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and an afternoon maximum near 32–33 °C in central Madrid under strong solar heating and subsiding high pressure, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (73.5 %). Recent model runs and station observations from the prior 48 hours confirm a steady temperature climb from ~30 °C the day before, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs average 30.3 °C. The modest 21 % probability attached to 34 °C reflects residual uncertainty in peak insolation and urban heat-island effects, while outcomes below 32 °C or at 35 °C and above remain below 5 % given the absence of cloud cover or frontal systems. Final market resolution hinges on the official Retiro or Barajas maximum reported by AEMET once the day closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,789วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET agency for August 30, 2026, show clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and an afternoon maximum near 32–33 °C in central Madrid under strong solar heating and subsiding high pressure, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (73.5 %). Recent model runs and station observations from the prior 48 hours confirm a steady temperature climb from ~30 °C the day before, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs average 30.3 °C. The modest 21 % probability attached to 34 °C reflects residual uncertainty in peak insolation and urban heat-island effects, while outcomes below 32 °C or at 35 °C and above remain below 5 % given the absence of cloud cover or frontal systems. Final market resolution hinges on the official Retiro or Barajas maximum reported by AEMET once the day closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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