**Current forecasts from major meteorological sources, including the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI), Met Office, and ensemble models, indicate a maximum temperature of 17–19°C in Helsinki on August 31, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with southerly to southwesterly winds of 5–7 m/s and scattered light showers or thunderstorms.** These conditions limit daytime heating compared to clearer scenarios, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 19°C (53%) and 18°C (23%), while the modest probability for 20°C (18.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in model runs if cloud cover breaks earlier than expected. Late-August climatology in Helsinki shows average daily maxima near 18–20°C, but the current pattern of Atlantic-influenced air and high humidity (often above 90%) favors the lower end of that range. Official observations on August 30 reached only 19°C amid similar conditions, providing a recent analog that reinforces trader consensus. Updated model runs and FMI briefings tomorrow morning will be the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if they revise the peak upward or confirm cooler readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 31?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on August 31?
19°C 53%
18°C 23%
20°C 20%
17°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
23%
19°C
53%
20°C
20%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
1%
19°C 53%
18°C 23%
20°C 20%
17°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
12°C or below
$294 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$294 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$53 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$141 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$108 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C
$486 ปริมาณ
4%
18°C
$961 ปริมาณ
23%
19°C
$1,300 ปริมาณ
53%
20°C
$940 ปริมาณ
20%
21°C
$731 ปริมาณ
3%
22°C or higher
$99 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from major meteorological sources, including the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI), Met Office, and ensemble models, indicate a maximum temperature of 17–19°C in Helsinki on August 31, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with southerly to southwesterly winds of 5–7 m/s and scattered light showers or thunderstorms.**
These conditions limit daytime heating compared to clearer scenarios, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 19°C (53%) and 18°C (23%), while the modest probability for 20°C (18.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in model runs if cloud cover breaks earlier than expected.
Late-August climatology in Helsinki shows average daily maxima near 18–20°C, but the current pattern of Atlantic-influenced air and high humidity (often above 90%) favors the lower end of that range.
Official observations on August 30 reached only 19°C amid similar conditions, providing a recent analog that reinforces trader consensus. Updated model runs and FMI briefings tomorrow morning will be the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if they revise the peak upward or confirm cooler readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,407วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from major meteorological sources, including the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI), Met Office, and ensemble models, indicate a maximum temperature of 17–19°C in Helsinki on August 31, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with southerly to southwesterly winds of 5–7 m/s and scattered light showers or thunderstorms.**
These conditions limit daytime heating compared to clearer scenarios, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 19°C (53%) and 18°C (23%), while the modest probability for 20°C (18.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in model runs if cloud cover breaks earlier than expected.
Late-August climatology in Helsinki shows average daily maxima near 18–20°C, but the current pattern of Atlantic-influenced air and high humidity (often above 90%) favors the lower end of that range.
Official observations on August 30 reached only 19°C amid similar conditions, providing a recent analog that reinforces trader consensus. Updated model runs and FMI briefings tomorrow morning will be the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if they revise the peak upward or confirm cooler readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,407วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from major meteorological sources, including the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI), Met Office, and ensemble models, indicate a maximum temperature of 17–19°C in Helsinki on August 31, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with southerly to southwesterly winds of 5–7 m/s and scattered light showers or thunderstorms.** These conditions limit daytime heating compared to clearer scenarios, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 19°C (53%) and 18°C (23%), while the modest probability for 20°C (18.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in model runs if cloud cover breaks earlier than expected. Late-August climatology in Helsinki shows average daily maxima near 18–20°C, but the current pattern of Atlantic-influenced air and high humidity (often above 90%) favors the lower end of that range. Official observations on August 30 reached only 19°C amid similar conditions, providing a recent analog that reinforces trader consensus. Updated model runs and FMI briefings tomorrow morning will be the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if they revise the peak upward or confirm cooler readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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