**Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C daily maximum in Helsinki on August 30, 2026, reflecting tight alignment between official observations and forecast models.** Live data from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting sources (Yr.no, Ventusky, WeatherBug) show afternoon peaks reaching exactly 20°C around 15:00–18:00 local time under mostly cloudy skies, with southwesterly winds of 3–5 m/s and minimal precipitation. This matches late-August climatology for the Helsinki-Vantaa region, where average highs hover near 18–19°C and recent days have featured stable, mild conditions without significant warm or cold advection. The near-100% market-implied probability stems from model consensus across ECMWF, GFS, and local guidance, plus real-time station readings confirming no deviation beyond the 20°C threshold. Realistic challenges remain narrow and would require an unexpected late-day surge (unlikely with decreasing insolation) or post-hoc measurement revision by FMI that shifts the official high to 19°C or 21°C. With the day concluding, resolution risk is now minimal.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 30?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on August 30?
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$30,834 ปริมาณ
$30,834 ปริมาณ
Aug 30, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$30,834 ปริมาณ
$30,834 ปริมาณ
Aug 30, 2026
14°C or below
$131 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$228 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$188 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$1,120 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$6,505 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$5,417 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$10,697 ปริมาณ
100%
21°C
$4,715 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$461 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$1,175 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C or higher
$195 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C daily maximum in Helsinki on August 30, 2026, reflecting tight alignment between official observations and forecast models.**
Live data from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting sources (Yr.no, Ventusky, WeatherBug) show afternoon peaks reaching exactly 20°C around 15:00–18:00 local time under mostly cloudy skies, with southwesterly winds of 3–5 m/s and minimal precipitation. This matches late-August climatology for the Helsinki-Vantaa region, where average highs hover near 18–19°C and recent days have featured stable, mild conditions without significant warm or cold advection.
The near-100% market-implied probability stems from model consensus across ECMWF, GFS, and local guidance, plus real-time station readings confirming no deviation beyond the 20°C threshold. Realistic challenges remain narrow and would require an unexpected late-day surge (unlikely with decreasing insolation) or post-hoc measurement revision by FMI that shifts the official high to 19°C or 21°C. With the day concluding, resolution risk is now minimal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,834วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C daily maximum in Helsinki on August 30, 2026, reflecting tight alignment between official observations and forecast models.**
Live data from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting sources (Yr.no, Ventusky, WeatherBug) show afternoon peaks reaching exactly 20°C around 15:00–18:00 local time under mostly cloudy skies, with southwesterly winds of 3–5 m/s and minimal precipitation. This matches late-August climatology for the Helsinki-Vantaa region, where average highs hover near 18–19°C and recent days have featured stable, mild conditions without significant warm or cold advection.
The near-100% market-implied probability stems from model consensus across ECMWF, GFS, and local guidance, plus real-time station readings confirming no deviation beyond the 20°C threshold. Realistic challenges remain narrow and would require an unexpected late-day surge (unlikely with decreasing insolation) or post-hoc measurement revision by FMI that shifts the official high to 19°C or 21°C. With the day concluding, resolution risk is now minimal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,834วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C daily maximum in Helsinki on August 30, 2026, reflecting tight alignment between official observations and forecast models.** Live data from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting sources (Yr.no, Ventusky, WeatherBug) show afternoon peaks reaching exactly 20°C around 15:00–18:00 local time under mostly cloudy skies, with southwesterly winds of 3–5 m/s and minimal precipitation. This matches late-August climatology for the Helsinki-Vantaa region, where average highs hover near 18–19°C and recent days have featured stable, mild conditions without significant warm or cold advection. The near-100% market-implied probability stems from model consensus across ECMWF, GFS, and local guidance, plus real-time station readings confirming no deviation beyond the 20°C threshold. Realistic challenges remain narrow and would require an unexpected late-day surge (unlikely with decreasing insolation) or post-hoc measurement revision by FMI that shifts the official high to 19°C or 21°C. With the day concluding, resolution risk is now minimal.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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